The Colts fell short at home on Sunday Night, but they get a chance to make it up to their fans this Sunday versus Drew Brees and the Saints. Our NFL odds preview is ready for consumption.
Depending on which sportsbook you look over, you'll see the Colts favored by either 4.5 or 5 points. We'll need to monitor the NFL odds closely to make sure we jump all over the best number that's available to us. You should do the same.
The total is currently trading at an even 52 points, but we're going to be focusing on the ATS numbers and an eventual pick versus the number. That's our ultimate goal for this tasty Week 7 meeting between two offensive-minded teams.
The "play", as we'll refer to it, has already been talked about to death, so we'll avoid discussing too much. It was truly an awful play, though, and people aren't going to forget about it for quite some time.
That one play isn't why Indianapolis fell short in a 34-27 home loss to Tom Brady and the Patriots in Week 6. The Colts defense had little luck slowing down the New England offense, and ultimately that's what made the difference. Andrew Luck put up some very solid numbers, accounting for 312 passing yards and three touchdowns (he also ran for 35 yards), but it just wasn't enough to keep pace with the defending Super Bowl champs.
For the first half at least, the Colts were able to hang with New England, and with Luck getting close to 100 percent from a health perspective, we should see them playing better football as the season wears on. For what it's worth, Indianapolis has won just one if its first three games at home this season.
New Orleans Saints
It'll have been around 10 days since the Saints last took the field when they do battle with the Colts in Indianapolis this Sunday. They earned their second win of the season last Thursday, beating Atlanta rather comfortably.
In the 31-21 victory, Drew Brees picked apart the Falcons (30-of-39 for 312 passing yards), while Mark Ingram grinded out 46 yards and two scores. Benjamin Watson led all New Orleans receivers with 10 catches on 12 targets for 127 yards and a receiving touchdown. The defense did its part too, forcing three fumbles that were recovered to give the Saints possession.
At 2-4 through six games, there's still a long way to go for the Saints -- they've still got a long ways away from top-seeded division rival Carolina, who have still yet to lose this season. Nonetheless, New Orleans has shown some signs of life in recent weeks, which means we need to start considering them for our NFL picks going forward.
Last Sunday wasn't very pretty, but the Colts did keep the game competitive at times, and we know this offense is going to keep churning out the points, so long as Luck is healthy and in charge.
And, we also know that the Saints defense is going to offer up much resistance, at least if their early season performances are anything to go by. New Orleans has been giving up a lot of big plays, so Luck and his arsenal of weapons should be able to find a lot of success on Sunday afternoon. The extra rest doesn't help much (New Orleans last played last Thursday) when you're simply not that good defensively regardless.
You have to figure the Saints will be able to score some points as well, given the inconsistencies we've seen out of the Indy defense, but all in all we see this as a bounce-back spot for the Colts inside Lucas Oil. They should be able to win this game by at least five points.
NFL Pick: Indianapolis Colts -4.5 at Bovada