Huge Payout Potential When Adding Vikings +423 to Your NFL Picks vs. Cardinals

Joe Gavazzi

Thursday, December 10, 2015 3:58 PM GMT

Thursday Night Football is back once again and our professional NFL odds handicapper provides his contrary NFL pick to get the most profits out of this clash tonight!

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2837181, "sportsbooksIds":[169,1096,93,19,92,238], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NFL Pick: Vikings +423
Best Odds Offered By Heritage

 

Minnesota Vikings vs. Arizona Cardinals (-10) 8:25 ET
The Minnesota Vikings visit the Arizona Cardinals for this 8:25 ET kickoff on Thursday Night Football. In keeping with the winning philosophy that has pervaded my selections, we will confidently line up with the Minnesota Vikings in a play that is clearly AGAINST the public sentiment. 

Last week, these teams had very dichotomous results. The Minnesota Vikings lost at home to the Seattle Seahawks (38-7). It was a game in which Seattle outrushed the Vikings 36/173 to 16/31, while allowing Minnesota to gain just 125 total yards. At the same time, Arizona was whipping St. Louis at the line of scrimmage 36/175 to 15/66. Those were all part of game statistics that saw Arizona win the yardage battle 524-212. 

As a result of those outcomes, Minnesota is now tied with Green Bay (though Green Bay holds the tiebreaker at 8-4 SU for the NFC North divisional lead). Arizona at 10-2 SU holds a comfortable 3-game lead, and the tiebreaker, against Seattle for the NFC West divisional lead. In addition, Arizona holds a 2-game lead over Green Bay and Minnesota for the 1st round bye in the upcoming NFC Playoffs. With that as a background, let’s explore the seasons of each of these teams.

 

Game Analysis
Under 2nd year HC Zimmer, the Vikings continue to be a 2015 turnaround story. Though the Vikings were just 7-9 SU last year, their pointspread success dates to that season. Entering this contest, despite last week’s loss, they are on runs of 17-5 ATS and 20-5 ATS in non-divisional play. In addition, they have been outstanding in these roles with a record of 10-2 ATS as underdog and 9-3 ATS following a loss (including 5-0 ATS if today’s game is on the road). Zimmer has turned around the fortunes of the program with a ground game that averages 137/4.7 and a defense that allows just 19 PPG. But, this plain vanilla team has not caught the fancy of the public. Rather, they see a team who has failed when stepping up in competition, losing 2 of their last 3 games at home by counts of 30-13 to Green Bay and 38-7 last week to Seattle. In addition, it has been well documented that teams play poorly following an encounter with the physical intensity of Seattle. The final nail in their coffin is that despite being 8-4 SU, they are being outgained by an average of 343 to 316 YPG. In other words, there are good reasons why the public is against this team! 

The case AGAINST Arizona is much tougher to make. This franchise has truly turned it around under the leadership of HC Arians and QB Palmer. They enter today on a 6-game winning streak at 10-2 SU. Much like Minnesota, they have been outstanding against non-division competition with a recent 23-6 ATS mark. For the season, they are outscoring the opposition 32/19, outgaining them 420-317 and hold an NFL best YPPL differential of 6.5 to 5.4 YP play. On the down side, the ease of their recent victory last week and knowledge of their 3-game division lead can leave them a little fat for this Thursday encounter. In addition, they have failed to cover all 3 contests this year against St. Louis, Baltimore and San Francisco when installed as a favorite of 7 or more points. Also, they are 0-3 ATS on their home field of late. A case can clearly be made that Arizona is becoming overpriced! 

With the above facts and background, the most outstanding feature of this game is the inflated line on Arizona in this contest. I invite you to put the NFL odds in your favor and join me for this contrary NFL picks on the Minnesota Vikings for Thursday Night Football.