How NFL Bettors Can Make the Most Out of the Offseason

Jason Lake

Wednesday, February 19, 2014 7:58 PM UTC

Wednesday, Feb. 19, 2014 7:58 PM UTC

If you’re really into betting on the NFL, now is exactly the time to put some distance between yourself and the people who have turned their attention elsewhere.

Jason’s final record on his final NFL picks for 2013-14:

49-41-2 ATS (+7.7 units)

1-1 ML (+0.71 units)

16-20-1 Totals (–5.6 units)

Total units won: +2.81

ROI: +2.15% 

Everyone needs a vacation from time to time. No matter how much you enjoy your work, if you spend day after day with your nose to the grindstone, you’re going to burn out. That’s why the truly sharp NFL bettors have spent the last two weeks paying attention to anything besides football. Maybe they’ve been putting ships into bottles, or binge-watching all three seasons of Parker Lewis Can't Lose. Not a problem. 

But now it’s time to get back to work. Betting on the NFL is first and foremost an exercise in information gathering, and if you start that process now, you’ll have a considerable advantage over those lazy no-goodniks who keep their brains closed until September rolls around. Here are some of the things you can do this offseason to gain that competitive edge and increase your future earnings. 

The Reflecting Skin 

Before delving into the upcoming 2014 NFL betting season, it’s always a good idea to look back at what happened in 2013 and see what worked and what didn’t. We’re not just talking about what happened on the football field, either. Which football betting strategies worked for you last season? Which strategies would you have rather used in retrospect? Personally, I would have been better served pounding the OVER on my NFL totals as a default, so perhaps I’ll be doing that next season. They have a handy phrase for this in game theory: iterated elimination of dominated strategies.

Speaking of upgrades, this is the right time to look at your larger betting environment and seeing what could use some sprucing up. Is that Pentium II keeping up with your needs? How about a more ergonomic chair? I personally recommend a kneeling chair if you’re going to spend any time at a workstation. You also might want to invest in a paid subscription for some high-end football data analysis. There’s lots of good free stuff, of course, but if you want premium results, you should be willing to pay for them. It’s amazing what you can get for literally a few pennies a day. 

One other thing while I’m at it: Diet and exercise. I know this isn’t everyone’s favorite subject, but if your daily regimen is two gallons of soda pop and eight hours of screen time, your brain is going to crap out on you. You’re analyzing a bunch of athletes, right? So be one. Play sports. Exercise while you watch sports. Eat better food that also tastes better – yes, we have the technology for that now. Don’t be a square at life.

You Must Learn 

As for the 2014 NFL season, it started even before the playoffs were over. Take some time to go over each of the 32 teams and what people are saying about their offseason needs – we’re doing the same thing here. Seven head coaches have already been hired and fired as we go to press, so hit the Interwebz and do some homework, see what separates the Ken Whisenhunts from the Jim Caldwells. 

We’ve also got the 2014 NFL Combine coming up on Friday. Thanks to the NFL Network, we can spend all day watching the next crop of athletes go through their wind sprints while every single strength and weakness is explained to us in detail. This all leads up to the 2014 NFL Draft in May. By the time the dust settles and the experts have weighed in, you’ll be programmed for success next season. You might even be more knowledgeable about football than many of the GMs out there. Knowledge is power, folks.

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