Houston Texans vs. Miami Dolphins Week 7 Free NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 25, 2015 11:36 AM GMT

Houston kept their season alive to go to 2-4 after beating Jacksonville on the road, and they'll stay in Florida this weekend as well. Miami will be awaiting the Texans after winning at Tennessee.

Opening Odds & Line Movement

Open: -5 -105 at Pinnacle
The Dolphins started out as a 5-point NFL betting favorite this week, but the NFL odds have moved to -4 probably for no other reason beside no one trusts Miami to keep it up. Miami hasn't won back-to-back games since Weeks 8 and 9 of last season, and it's tough to get any momentum going that way. The Texans also have a long way to go because even though they beat the Jaguars, it's still the Jaguars. Houston's problems come in the turnover battle, where they are -5 on the season. While the defense is working hard, they have only generated five takeaways so far. 

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Injuries
For the Texans, LB Benadrick McKinney has a concussion and probably isn't going to play this week, while CB Lonnie Ballentine is now out for the season thanks to a knee injury. CB Kareem Jackson has an ankle injury that will probably keep him on the sidelines this week, which means the pass rush has to get going for the Texans.

On Miami's side, Brice McCain wasn't practicing earlier in the week because of a knee injury, so that's something to keep an eye on. Besides that, the Dolphins are healthy and that is a good sign going into this game as they need to get it going and save their season.

 

Trends
The Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games, but they're 2-2-1 ATS in their last five on the road, which is decent. The Dolphins have covered in just two of their last 10 overall, and have failed to cover in their last five at home. The Dolphins are now 2-3, and if they want to play physical, the Texans will oblige them in what will surely be a hard-hitting game. 

Houston has dominated this matchup, going 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in seven games against Miami. On the road, the Texans are 3-0 SU and ATS.

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