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CLEVELAND, OHIO - SEPTEMBER 19: Davis Mills #10 of the Houston Texans plays against the the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on September 19, 2021 in Cleveland, Ohio. Cleveland won the game 21-31. Gregory Shamus/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by Gregory Shamus / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

It was a tumultuous 2021 season for the Houston Texans, who only won four games before firing former head coach David Culley less than a year after hiring him. Will they be able to find more success in 2022 under new head coach Lovie Smith? Here are our Texans 2022 odds, picks, and preview.

The Texans have taken a lot of organizational blows in a very short period of time. It all started when they traded star wideout DeAndre Hopkins in 2020 and continued in February 2021 when all-pro defensive end J.J. Watt asked for a trade. Since then, they've also traded their former starting quarterback Deshaun Watson.

Watson was just dealt a handful of months ago, but it feels like much longer since he did not suit up for a single game in 2021 due to sexual assault allegations. His absence made room for rookie quarterback Davis Mills, who had a solid debut season all things considered. Will he be able to help the Texans become competitive again in 2022?

Below, we preview the 2022 NFL season for the Houston Texans with a look at their futures odds and make our top picks (odds via DraftKings SportsbookFanDuel SportsbookCaesars Sportsbook).

Houston Texans' 2022 Futures Odds

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Houston Texans 2022 Picks

Texans to win division (+4500 via Caesars)Texans Over 4.5 wins (+100 via DraftKings)Texans to miss playoffs (-3500 via FanDuel)Davis Mills Over 3,700.5 passing yards (+105 via DraftKings)

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Texans to win division (+4500)

Houston has the longest odds of winning its division of any team in the NFL on DraftKings, FanDuel, and Caesars. While that is for good reason, the AFC South might also be somewhat of a toss-up this year.

The Texans could still be a better team than the Jacksonville Jaguars. Now that Urban Meyer is gone, quarterback Trevor Lawrence may flourish on a Jags roster that has made some improvements such as adding coach Doug Pederson and receiver Christian Kirk.

The Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts are both significantly better than Houston, but neither is necessarily a powerhouse either. The Texans will go as far as Mills will take them. At +4500 odds on Caesars, even a $20 bet would net a $900 return if it hit, making it a low-risk, high-reward wager that could be worth making.

https://twitter.com/BettingPros/status/1551265958815096832?s=20&t=rnShImscWUx80fXlTSIUgw

Texans Over 4.5 wins (+100)

The set Over/Under total of 4.5 wins for the Texans is interesting because of their recent history. Over the past eight seasons, they've won nine or more games five times. They finished with exactly four wins in the other three seasons.

Houston's chances of winning at least five games in 2022 are truly a coin flip, which is why the line is essentially even between both odds. One way or the other, a bettor would have to put down a significant amount of money just to see a half-decent profit. The Over seems like the safe way to go, as the improvements they have made this offseason are likely good for at least one extra win.

Texans to miss playoffs (-3500)

The chances of Houston making the playoffs are realistically pretty slim. The division is only moderately difficult, but the AFC is extremely tough as a conference. Even with the expanded wild-card format, the Texans will be in tough when it comes to securing a playoff berth.

Their only hope would be if multiple other teams in their division imploded. They certainly do have a better chance than last season following some of their foes' key losses - such as A.J. Brown departing for the Philadelphia Eagles. Still, it would appear that their chances of missing the postseason are all but a sure thing.

Davis Mills Over 3,700.5 passing yards (+105)

Mills was a bright spot for the Texans last season, especially considering a lot of other things went wrong. The 2021 third-round pick ended up appearing in 13 games (11 starts) and threw for 2,664 passing yards (roughly 205 per game) with 16 passing touchdowns and only 10 interceptions.

Barring injury or consistently poor performance, Mills is likely to start all 17 games for Houston in 2022. Betting the Over would be a smart move, seeing as he will be starting six more games than last year and will only need to register about 1,000 more passing yards.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhhT6MvVbns

Where to Bet on Houston Texans Futures

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel SportsbookCaesars SportsbookDraftKings SportsbookPointsBetBetMGM

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Houston Texans futures picks made on 7/25/2022 at 5 p.m. ET.