Green Bay vs. Dallas - Cowboys Will be Looking for Revenge

Green Bay Packers players gathered around

David Schwab

Saturday, October 7, 2017 1:16 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 7, 2017 1:16 PM UTC

One of the highlights on this Sunday’s betting board is the Packers on the road against the Cowboys. Kickoff is slated for 4:25 p.m. with the Cowboys looking for revenge after the Packers beat Dallas 34-31 on the road last year in the playoffs as five-point underdogs.

Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Pointspread: Dallas -2.5
Total Line: 53

Game Overview

Green Bay moved to 3-1 straight-up on the year with last Thursday’s 35-14 victory against Chicago as a seven-point home favorite. The Packers are now 2-2 against the spread with the total going OVER in their last three games. They head back on the road this Sunday with a 4-2 record ATS in their last six road games and the total has gone OVER in their last five outings away from home.

The win against the Bears came at a steep price with both Ty Montgomery and Davante Adams listed as questionable with injuries sustained in that game. Montgomery is the team’s leading rusher with 152 yards on 46 carries and Adams has been Aaron Rodgers’ top target so far in the passing game with 16 receptions for 219 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Green Bay has been solid on defense so far as the sixth-best team in the NFL in total yards allowed and the fifth-best team against the pass.

It has been a shaky start for the Cowboys after winning 13 games last season. They have already lost to Denver on the road and the Los Angeles Rams at home as favorites in both contests to go 2-2 both SU and ATS in their first four games. The total went OVER 50.5-points in last Sunday’s 35-30 loss to the Rams as five-point favorites. Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 home games, but it falls to 2-4 ATS in its last six games at AT&T Stadium.

The sophomore season for quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott has also been shaky at times, but these two players still give the Cowboys the best chance to win this game if they can both play to expectations. Prescott has thrown for 941 yards and eight touchdowns against three interceptions while completing 60.8 percent of his first 143 attempts. Elliott has rushed the ball 76 times for 277 yards and two scores. The Cowboys’ defense could be put to the test on Sunday with a unit that is ranked 20th in the league against the pass and 26th in points allowed. Dallas gave up a combined 77 points in its two losses.  

Betting Trends

--The Packers have covered in six of their last eight games against the NFC and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The total has gone OVER in their last five road games.

--The Cowboys have failed to cover in seven of their last eight games against a team with an SU winning record and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a conference foe. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games coming off an SU loss.

--Head-to-head in this NFC tilt, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last four meetings in Dallas.

Final Analysis

The Packers’ high-powered offense could be missing two of its most productive players on Sunday, but as long as Aaron Rodgers is under center they still have a good chance to win this game against a suspect Dallas defense. Given the recent results between these two NFC rivals, the OVER 53 points is a tempting play, but my top NFL pick in this one is Green Bay ATS.


Free NFL Pick: Packers +2.5Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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