Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds - Sunday September 11

Joe Gavazzi

Sunday, September 11, 2016 2:54 PM UTC

Sunday, Sep. 11, 2016 2:54 PM UTC

The Green Bay Packers travel to Jacksonville where they may struggle with the heat and humidity of early September. The game is slotted for a 1 PM ET start at EverBank Field. 

What a fantastic start to the 2016 football season on this site!  Combined with a 4-0 ATS mark on NFL games (after the Denver (+3) winner Thursday night), the College Football selections in Week 1 went 7-1 ATS for a combined mark of 11-1 ATS to begin your football season!

I assure you that every weekend will not be that good.  But, if you follow the advice in my analyses this season, there is an extremely, high probability you will have more winners than losers.


Green Bay Packers (-5) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 EST
But that has not swayed the public from backing the Pack, who have become a public favorite with QB Rodgers at the helm and a 24-12 SU, 22-14 ATS record the previous two years. Green Bay has now appeared in the playoffs 7 consecutive seasons. The return to health of QB Rodgers, along with his primetime receiver Nelson, could do wonders in lifting the offensive fortunes of the Packers, who dipped to 23 PPG and 338 YPG in the 2015 season. The public has been rewarded with a 9-4 ATS road favorite record of Green Bay, as well, they remember the torrid start of the Pack last season when they won their first 6 games (covering their first 5) all by 7 or more points. But that perception may not play out despite the veteran leadership of 11th year HC Mike McCarthy, who has a lofty record of 112-62-1 SU and 100-71-4 ATS in his NFL coaching career. 

The reality is that these Jacksonville Jaguars are making a major move up the NFL ladder. Yet they have a tremendous amount of negative history to overcome. In the last four seasons, three of which under current fourth year HC Bradley, the Jags have gone 14-50 SU, with a point spread record of 25-37 ATS. Included in this are recent September records of 3-15 SU and 4-14 ATS. More specifically, they have lost their last four opening games by an average of 14 PPG. It is no surprise that they are 5-13 ATS as non-division home dog. But under the leadership of Bradley, and the emergence of QB Bortles, the offense improved from 16/290 to 23/348 last season. Bortles went from 11 to 35 TDP. A closer inspection of the log shows that 6 of the 11 losses, however, were by 7 or less points. Perhaps of equal importance is that 6/7 choices from their outstanding draft class came on the defensive side of the ball. They will make notable improvement from their normal 28/375 defense the previous three seasons. 

I invite you to put the NFL Odds in your favor and join me in my NFL Pick on the Jacksonville Jaguars today. 

NFL Pick: Jaguars
Best Line Offered:  at 5Dimes


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