Grab Redskins -5.5 Before NFL Betting Value Disappears

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 5:52 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 14, 2014 5:52 PM UTC

The Titans squeaked by the Jags last week while the Redskins were dumped in the desert courtesy of the Cardinals but which team is poised to cash in our NFL picks this Sunday?

Tennessee Titans (2-4 SU, 1-4-1 ATS)
The Titans narrowly escaped having the dubious distinction of becoming the first team to lose to the woeful Jacksonville Jaguars, at home no less, last week. As four-point betting favorites in NFL odds Tennessee found themselves trailing by a touchdown early in the opening quarter. But fortunately they were playing the Jaguars and the Titans held Jacksonville at bay while they put up 16 unanswered points until the Jags struck late closing the gap to 16-14 and then recovered an onside kick with 37 seconds left to play. Were it not for the last second heroics of Titans nose tackle Sammie Hill blocking the 55 yard field goal attempt, this outcome could have been completely different.

Thus, those punters who backed the Titans minus the four-point impost were no doubt envious of those who perused the NFL odds and decided upon the money line -215 and were paid off despite the blown ATS cover. Charlie Whitehurst was solid though unspectacular tossing for 233 yards on 17-of-28 passing. The Titans running attack was never a threat as rookie running back Bishop Sankey carried much of the workload but mustered only 61 yards on 18 carries. Defensively Tennessee was stout sacking Jacksonville QB Blake Bortles six times and picking him off once.


Washington Redskins (1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS)
If you backed the Redskins as road dogs getting anywhere from 3 ½ to 5 points in NFL odds in Week 6 as I did then you probably have a bald spot where your hair should be. Kirk Cousins threw three picks but none more financially devastating than the one with 18 seconds left which was run back for a touchdown by Arizona’s Rashad Johnson. The final score should have read 23-20 in favor of the Carson Palmer led Cardinals but instead that last second pick-six put the nail in what should have been an ATS cover with the resulting 30-20 finish.

Though Cousins amassed 354 yards on 24-of-38 passing and two touchdowns those stats are a bit deceiving. He tossed three picks, including the aforementioned pick-six, and looked early and often to big tight end Jordan Reed. Reed snagged eight passes on 11 targets while DeSean Jackson had the big gainer taking a short flair from Cousins all the way to the house to knot the score at seven. Nevertheless Cousins made some poor decisions and looked confused at times as he failed to check down his receivers instead opting to deliver the ball to the first receiver in his sights. The running game did him no favors however as Alfred Morris tallied only 41 yards despite a depleted Arizona run stop unit.


Free NFL Pick
The Redskins will cover this one easily. Yeah, I said it. Maybe I’m just still steaming from their blown cover last week and am guilty of chasing but I don’t think so. Not against a team as woeful as the Titans. Kirk Cousins is a very good quarterback who simply needs more seasoning and he will be looking at the Titans secondary like they’re a big ‘ol shaker of salt and pepper. Once Cousins gets it rolling with the passing game look for the ‘Skins to change gears and get Alfred Morris on track. This Titans defense resembles nothing like the one they saw last week in the desert and right now the NFL odds are at 5 ½  but look to be climbing to six in many shops. Get on this earlier than later  with your NFL picks amigos.

NFL Pick: Washington – 5 ½ at Bet365

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