Go Against Oddsmakers with Dolphins vs. Raiders NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, September 24, 2014 7:05 PM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 24, 2014 7:05 PM UTC

London is set to welcome the NFL as the Miami Dolphins and Oakland Raiders travel across the Atlantic pond for their showdown at Wembley Stadium in week 4 NFL betting. Join us as we analyse this matchup and serve up our select NFL picks.

Miami Dolphins Strike a Less than Convincing Pose
After stealing the show in week 1 with a sensational, come-from-behind 33-20 win over the New England Patriots, the Dolphins flopped in their subsequent games. Week 2 saw them fall to a 29-10 defeat in Buffalo against a Bills side that frankly leaves a lot to be desired. While week 3 saw them flounder against the then winless Kansas City Chiefs to a 34-15 routing at home before their fans.

Ryan Tannehill has had an awful season overall, with just 56.5 % completion, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions and 9 sacks. Against the Chiefs, he went for 21-of-43 passes for 205 yards and a touchdown, but he was sacked four times and the Dolphins only converted four of their third down opportunities. Overall, the Dolphins almost matched the Chiefs in total offense, coming up with 332 yards to Kansas’ 342 total yards of offense. Dolphins produced 191 passing yards, a smidgen more than the Chiefs’ 168 yards, but rushed for just 141 yards to Chiefs’ 174 yards. Since Knowshawn Moreno’s injury, their rushing attack has faltered.

Dolphins 2014 Trends: they are 1-2 SU and ATS and 1-2 in over-under betting.

Compare Our Handicappers NFL Picks on the Dolphins vs. Raiders Week 4 Matchup!

Oakland Raiders Still Searching for First Win
Oakland Raiders are winless on the season after dropping games to New York, Houston and New England Patriots. Some allowance has to be made for the fact that the Raiders were forced to debut new centre Derek Carr instead of Matt Schaub, who’s sidelined with injury. Carr hasn’t been great, but he hasn’t been bad – a sign the maturation process is going to take some time.

That said the Raiders played just about as good as they could against the Patriots last Sunday, holding them to just 16 points. There was also a dubious holding call that prevented the Raiders the chance to tie the game. Still, the Raiders are averaging a lowly 190.0 yards per game and the lowest tally at 12.3 points per game in the league. Carr went for 21-of-34 passes and 174 yards and one interception in the Raiders’16-9 defeat to the Patriots.

Raiders 2014 Trends: they are 0-3 SU but 2-1 ATS and 1-2 in over-under betting.


Miami Dolphins -4.0 -110, -200, O/U 41.0
Oakland Raiders +4.0 -110, +170, O/U 41.0


NFL Betting Verdict
Both sides go into this game looking to snap winless streaks. The Dolphins are flush off two straight defeats while the Raiders are a gloomier 0-3 this season. Something is going to have to give and if the odds were any indication, the expectation is for the Dolphins to get back on the winning track rather than the Raiders. The Dolphins have received the favorite nod at -200 NFL odds, and they are matched as the 4-point chalk in this game.

How the Dolphins can be prohibitive favourites against anybody right now is mind-blowing. They are 30th in passing offense with 190.0 yards per game and they are 20th opposing the rush at 125.3 yards allowed. Granted the Raiders’ stats aren’t exactly better reading, but they are 4th in the league at opposing the pass, which is interesting all things being considered. What’s more, they played just about as good as they could when they held the Patriots to just 16 points. There are plenty of positives from that game particularly for Derek Carr, who’s only just finding his strides.

Holding Tom Brady and Company to just 16 paltry points has to give the Raiders and Carr some confidence against a Dolphins side that is beatable right now. Speaking of Tannehill, there’s a cloud of doubt hanging over him: speculation is rife about whether Ryan Tannehill’s grasp on the starting-quarterback role is slipping. The mere hint of such speculation prompts questions about the state of his confidence as well how much confidence his team has in him if he does in fact start. If he’s lost the locker room, that could make things very interesting at Wembley. Put another way: if the Dolphins continue to unravel, the Raiders really do have a shot to get their first win on the season. So we’re banking on the upset on our NFL picks, taking the Raiders at +170 straight up to heap more misery on the Dolphins in London.

NFL Picks: Raiders +170 SU at 5Dimes

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