We’ve asked our NFL consultant to share his thoughts pertaining to Sunday’s Giants/Saints total. Join us in reading this highly informative betting preview article that includes his pick.
Total in Giants/Saints Clash
The Saints and Giants meet on Sunday in New Orleans. The opening kickoff at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome is slated for 1:00 PM ET. I’m going to be focusing my attention on the total in this article. Early NFL betting odds at TheGreek.com shows a total of 49.5. These teams have met three times since 2009, and all of those games went over the total. The average points scored in those contests was a combined 75.7. It must be noted that the last of those games came way back on 12/9/2012, and resulted in a Giants 52-27 home win.
The Giants rushed for over 100 yards for the first time this season in last Sunday’s 27-20 win over Dallas. One of their touchdowns came via an interception return, and the offense amassed just 289 total yards. It marked the second game in a row that their offense has struggled. They were held to 247 yards during a 27-7 loss at Philadelphia the week before last. New York has gone under the total in each of their previous ten non-division away games when the total is 46.5 or more. In three road contests this season, they’ve averaged just 19.0 points and 279.7 yards per game.
It’s the same old Saints offense that seems to move the ball effortlessly, evidenced by their average of 395.9 total yards per game. However, their scoring offense hasn’t quite coincided with its totals yards. They’ve averaged just 23.0 points per outing in their first seven games of the season. Ordinarily teams approaching an average of 400 total yards per game score somewhere around 30 points per contest. Part of the problem has been a lack of a consistent running game. Another huge factor is the absence of former tight end Jimmy Graham who was a lethal weapon, and especially so in the red zone. Star quarterback Drew Brees has also been battling a rotator cuff injury on his right throwing shoulder.
The Giants defense hasn’t been very good in their last three games. They’ve allowed an average of 24.3 points and 418.3 yards per game during that stretch. In that same span, opponents are averaging 170.7 yards per game rushing in addition to 4.9 yards per attempt. The scoring defense could’ve been much worse if not for their ability to force 8 turnovers in the last two games.
The Saints haven’t been known for their defensive prowess in recent years. Their defensive coordinator Rob Ryan gets more notoriety for being Buddy’s son and Rex’s brother than his own coaching ability. His defense has limited the damage in the last three games by forcing 8 turnovers. It will be a challenge to duplicate those efforts on Sunday against a Giants team that’s committed only 6 turnovers in their first seven games.
The majority of general public wagers will undoubtedly be placed on this game going over the total as opposed to its alternative choice. My professional intuition tells me that there will be plenty of yards racked up by both offenses, but that won’t necessarily translate into the kind of combined points needed to surpass this high total. I have an early lean toward playing under the number for one of my NFL picks this week.
NFL Pick: Play on the Giants and Saints UNDER 49.5 at The Greek