Giants vs. Patriots Opening Odds Report & Early Week 10 NFL Picks

Jason Lake

Tuesday, November 10, 2015 8:40 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 10, 2015 8:40 PM GMT

The New York Giants have had it easy thus far. They'll be on the wrong side of the NFL odds this Sunday when they welcome the New England Patriots to the Big Apple.

Jason's 2015 record as of Nov. 10: 30-30-2 ATS; 0-1 ML (-1.00 units); 21-27 Total

So the first half of the 2015 NFL regular season is all wrapped up. Anything strange happen? Um... yes. We've got three teams at 8-0 – that's never happened before. At the other end of the spectrum, we've got four of the league's eight divisions with a combined total of three winnings clubs among them. At this rate, we're bound to have another losing team in the playoffs.

That team could be the New York Giants (5-4 SU, 5-3-1 ATS). They're still on top of the NFC East, thanks to a 32-18 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1.5 at home). But the Giants had one of the NFL's easiest schedules during the first half of the season. They kick-off the second half with a game against one of those three undefeated teams, the New England Patriots (8-0 SU, 5-2-1 ATS). The Patriots opened as 7-point road dogs on our NFL odds board with a giant total of 54.5 points, moving up to 55 at press time.

 

Runaway
Before we dig too deeply into Sunday's matchup (4:25 p.m. ET, CBS), here's a look at the weather: mostly sunny skies over the New Meadowlands, with light winds and temperatures in the low 50s. A beautiful day for football. Too bad – rain in the forecast would have made this an easy UNDER for our Week 10 NFL picks, thank you, drive through.

There's still some viability to that pick. The Patriots have gone UNDER in back-to-back games, they'll be facing their highest total of the season thus far, and RB Dion Lewis is out for the rest of the season after tearing up his knee in last week's 27-10 win over Washington (+13.5 away). Lewis was good for 4.8 yards per carry and 36 receptions in his breakthrough campaign, filling the role formerly held by Shane Vereen – now with the Giants.

 

Assume the Position
Things get trickier from there for the defending champs. LT Sebastian Vollmer suffered what appeared to be a concussion against Washington and had to leave the game; his status for Week 10 is up in the air. New England's offensive line is already short-handed with LT Nate Solder (biceps) and center Ryan Wendell (knee) out for the season. Players have been forced to line up at unfamiliar positions in order to compensate, and the Pats have been forced to simplify their offense in turn.

We're content to grab the UNDER in this situation. There's been early and presumably sharp action on the Patriots ATS, and the Giants could pull in some recreational bettors over the weekend, but all these injuries and all that chalk are a bit too much to take. Sky-high totals, on the other hand, are always welcome here at the ranch.

NFL Picks: Take UNDER 55 (–101) at Pinnacle

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