Giants vs. Eagles NFL Picks: Betting Trends & Injuries Point to Low-Scoring Monday Night Football Game

Jason Lake

Saturday, October 17, 2015 12:00 AM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 17, 2015 12:00 AM UTC

Philadelphia's offense is showing signs of life, but that Eagles defense might be good enough against the New York Giants to put the UNDER in Monday night's NFL picks.

Jason's 2015 record as of Oct. 16: 18-12 ATS; 0-1 ML (-1.00 units); 12-19 Total

So Chip Kelly is already shooting down rumors that he might return to the college ranks. Will Kelly end up at USC next year, or perhaps Texas?he fact that people are even asking suggests things aren't rosy with Kelly's current employers. The Philadelphia Eagles are off to a slow start at 2-3 SU and ATS, and Kelly's vaunted offense has sputtered enough to leave the UNDER at 4-1 through five games.

Why so serious? The New York Giants had a slow start, too, and now they're on top of the NFC East at 3-2 SU and ATS. They've even got the OVER at 3-2 despite Eli Manning leaving so many points on the field. There's enough optimism about both these offenses that the sharps were unanimous in adding the OVER to their NFL picks when the total opened at 49.5 points for Monday night's matchup (8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN). Sounds like a plan.

***Monday Night Football Preview***
***Monday Night Football ATS Pick***
***Monday Night Football Team Totals***
***Monday Night Football Player Props***

Maxwell House
Hold up there for a moment. What if we told you that Philadelphia had the No. 7-ranked defense (No. 10 pass, No. 4 rush) in the NFL? That's what the statheads at Football Outsiders say. One problem, though: Against their opponents' top wideouts, the Eagles fall to No. 28 in defensive efficiency. CB Byron Maxwell got burned by Julio Jones and the Atlanta Falcons in the season opener – although that game went UNDER 55 when the Falcons won 26-24.

Maxwell has improved since then with a lighter workload, but the Eagles are still somewhat vulnerable at the corners. Which brings us to the critical question for Monday night: Will WR Odell Beckham Jr. (hamstring) suit up for the Giants? Beckham hasn't practiced this week, but head coach Tom Coughlin won't rule out using him on Monday. Consider it a game-time decision for now. At least we know WR Rueben Randle (hamstring) is good to go.


Ryan Express
Philadelphia's offense could be missing one of its skill players, too. RB Ryan Mathews (groin) was put on the injury report Friday after putting in a limited practice; his status for Monday night is up in the air. Mathews (+74 Total DYAR) has outperformed DeMarco Murray (–21 Total DYAR) through Week 5. Did we mention the Giants are fourth against the run this year?

We're going to have to go against the grain and recommend the UNDER. There's a 49.5-point total on our NFL odds board at press time, which definitely helps. Sadly for us, it's supposed to be a lovely evening in Philadelphia with clear skies, although it's starting to get a bit nippy out there. But given the injury situation on the ground and the somewhat high total, we'll take our chances with a suitably small wager.

NFL Picks: Take UNDER 49.5 (–105) at Pinnacle

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