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New York Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers enters the field during introductions before the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium as we look at our Giants vs. Cowboys parlay.
New York Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers enters the field during introductions before the game against the Philadelphia Eagles at MetLife Stadium. Photo by Vincent Carchietta/Imagn Images.

The Dallas Cowboys host the New York Giants in one of the three NFL Thanksgiving games. We dive into the others in our NFL Thanksgiving picks.

Drew Lock is expected to start for the Giants in Thursday’s 4:30 p.m. ET (FOX) game at AT&T Stadium. What does that mean for the best Giants vs. Cowboys parlay for one of your NFL Week 13 predictions?

Considering Tommy DeVito could barely move the ball last week, Lock should be a much better option for the Giants. But the spread hasn’t moved, as the Cowboys are still the 3.5-point favorites.

Will Lock’s presence make the Giants’ offense more threatening? And what should we expect from the Cowboys?

Giants vs. Cowboys parlay predictions

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 79.5 rushing yards (+155) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Rico Dowdle Over 67.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Malik Nabers Over 59.5 receiving yards (-175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Combined odds: +800 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 11.11%

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NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

SGP predictions for Giants vs. Cowboys

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Tyrone Tracy Jr. Over 79.5 rushing yards (+155) ⭐⭐⭐

Lock has thrown just nine passes this season, so the Giants should lean heavily on Tracy.

The tailback has topped 100 yards in two of his last four games despite the Giants losing each contest. What’s killed Tracy is a lack of touches, as the Giants fall behind significantly and the rookie running back is removed from the game plan. We saw that last week when he recorded just nine carries.

But the Cowboys’ run defense has been struggling this season while allowing 150.5 rushing yards per game, the second-most behind only the Carolina Panthers. Tracy ran for 103 yards two weeks ago while facing Carolina.

This is the long shot of the parlay, as Tracy will only cash this prop if the Giants stay close. But oddsmakers expect a field goal to decide this game, so he'll get enough carries to exploit a defense allowing 4.8 yards per carry.

Gabe Henderson also thinks you should bet on Tracy to hit paydirt in his Giants vs. Cowboys player prop bet odds and touchdown picks.

Rico Dowdle Over 67.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Speaking of bad run defenses, the Giants are allowing a league-worst 5.2 yards per carry this season. Opponents are averaging 148 rushing yards against them, the third-most leaguewide.

Though Dowdle has only tallied 488 yards this season, he did rush for 86 last week against the Washington Commanders. He’s now gone over 70 yards in two of his last four outings after only topping that number once in his first six games.

Dowdle suffers from a lot of the same issues as Tracy, as his team falls behind and the tailback gets limited touches. But he's rushed for more than 85 yards in the last two Cowboys victories. This is one of the safest plays of the day since the Cowboys are the 3.5-point favorites.

Our Andrew Brennan also likes Dowdle to reach the end zone in his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Thanksgiving.

Malik Nabers Over 59.5 receiving yards (-175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Nabers still managed six catches for 64 yards last week with Tommy DeVito as his quarterback. It was his first 60-plus-yard game in three tries.

While Nabers has been struggling a bit lately, he's posted six games with at least 60 yards this season. Additionally, he’s only registered fewer than 50 yards once this year, so his floor is high.

Though Lock has barely played this season, he started two games last year while completing more than 66% of his passes in both matchups and totaling 477 yards. DeVito has only thrown for more than 200 yards once in his career, and he played in nine games last campaign.

The Cowboys’ run defense is their most significant weakness, but their pass defense ranks 21st in the league too. I expect Nabers to put up a solid game win or lose. But if the Giants fall behind, look for a major second half to help him easily top this number.

Mike Spector is also backing Nabers in his Giants vs. Cowboys prediction. Meanwhile, Connor Cooper is eyeing another receiver to be productive in his CeeDee Lamb player prop bets.

Giants vs. Cowboys odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

Giants vs. Cowboys game info

  • When: Thursday, Nov. 28
  • Kickoff: 4:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
  • How to watch: FOX
  • Weather: Indoors
  • Favorite: Cowboys -3.5 (-108 via FanDuel)

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