The New York Giants and New England Patriots continue their annual tradition of meeting in the preseason, though this time it is in the opener instead of their typical preseason finale matchup. We're breaking down the betting angles with our Giants-Patriots picks.
Former Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Brian Daboll takes over as head coach of the Giants and looks to improve a team that has won more than six games once in the last eight years. And while Bill Belichick begins his 23rd season as head coach of the Patriots, he will be instilling a vastly different offensive scheme than in years past.
Giants vs. Patriots Game Info
Date/Time: Thursday, Aug. 11, 7 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Weather: 62 degrees, 34% chance of precipitation, Wind N 5 mph
Giants vs. Patriots Odds Analysis
The Patriots opened as -2 point favorites in early July, but the line has since jumped the fence. As of early Tuesday morning, New England was the far more popular side, as 77% of the tickets and 72% of the cash backed its point spread.
Giants vs. Patriots Picks
Giants vs. Patriots Predictions
Giants -1.5 (-110)
As of this writing, we do not know much about the specific plans of either team heading into this game, other than Daboll declaring, "I anticipate all of our guys playing on Thursday." So much of NFL preseason betting hinges upon what coaches say to the media leading up to the game, and that statement alone forced oddsmakers to move the line as much as four points in New York's favor at some sportsbooks. If Giants starters are playing, there has not yet been any indication of the number of series, but the focal points for betting purposes will clearly be on quarterback Daniel Jones and running back Saquon Barkley.
Belichick will likely be coy about his plans as he does not often divulge much to the media, even during the regular season. However, if last year's preseason opener is any indication, Patriots starters will get, at most, two series.
Daboll is more likely to gun for a victory since this is his first ever time with a headset on as a head coach. However, despite Belichick's teams being 9-2 in the last three preseasons, we are still siding with the Giants, given their plans for the game are somewhat more known.
Under 34.5 (-110)
Several reports out of Patriots training camp, most notably Tom Curran's from NBC Sports Boston, are that the offense has looked sluggish given the departure of former offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels. Quarterback Mac Jones is only entering year two. Still, it already sounds like he is running a vastly different offensive system, featuring more stretch runs and running out wide instead of between the tackles. It is also fair to question how much Jones will develop this year with former Giants head coach Joe Judge as his quarterbacks coach when Judge has never held that position before.
From a coaching perspective, the most interesting thing to watch play out in this game is who is calling the plays. Belichick declared there would be no true offensive coordinator, even though de facto OC Matt Patricia will call the plays in this game.
Part of me thinks Belichick wouldn't mind seeing sloppy play offensively to give him more ammunition to motivate the team in practice. But even with offensive-minded Daboll on the other sidelines, it will likely take time for the Giants to absorb his new offensive schemes as well, leading to a lower-scoring game.
Where to Bet on Giants-Patriots
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Giants-Patriots picks made 8/9/2022 at 7:44 a.m. ET.