Giants 2018 NFL Schedule Betting Breakdown: Rebound Won't be Easy

Sunday, April 22, 2018 4:54 PM UTC

Sunday, Apr. 22, 2018 4:54 PM UTC

A grueling early season schedule is rather merciless for the Giants, who have a new head coach after going 3-13. Here’s a look at the schedule and a few betting spots to consider.

Welcome to New York, Pat Shurmur. Five of the Giants' first seven opponents in 2018 reached the postseason last year -- not the easiest way for the team's new coach to begin his tenure.

Below you will find the Giants’ straight-up and against-the-spread records from last year’s NFL regular season, including average margin of victory, 2017 average odds, 2017 win totals and 2018 pre-scheduled figures, and projected strength of schedule using opponents’ combined record from 2017.

2017 SU Record: 3-13 (-8.9 avg. margin)

2017 ATS Record: 7-9 (-4.5 avg. margin)

2017 Average Line: 4.4

2017 Win Total: 5 (+100)

2018 Win Total 5Dimes (pre-schedule): 6 (-150)

2018 Strength of Schedule: T-8, 133-123 (.520)

Three Games to Back ATS

Eagles, Week 6; @Eagles, Week 12; Cowboys, Week 17

Since December 2008, quarterback Eli Manning is 4-16 SU and 7-13 ATS versus the Eagles. Ouch. The rivalry, however, is typically close with an average margin of victory of just 5.1 points. The G-men, in fact, are 4-0 ATS when catching 4.5 points or more in this spot, twice winning outright.

Advanced lines will see Philly laying points in both matchups. Look for a touchdown-plus spread at Lincoln Financial Field and a tighter handicap at MetLife Stadium. Since 1996, New York is 11-4 ATS as a home underdog hosting NFC East rivals. This could also be the conditions when Dallas comes to town in the regular-season finale.

Three Games to Fade ATS

Jaguars, Week 1

Since 1990, new head coaches in the NFL are 17-29 SU (23-23 ATS) as a home underdog in their debut. New York is currently a 3.5-point pup for its season opener with the Jaguars. Some outlets are even dangling a field goal. When the visitors own a positive average scoring margin from the previous year, the record dips to 8-19 SU and 11-16 ATS. The home team is losing by 6.7 points per game. The number is a bit soft and expectations probably too high.

@Cowboys, Week 2; @Panthers, Week 5

The Giants offense has proven anemic for several years in a row. In 2017, it averaged just 15.4 points per game, second fewest in the NFL. This poses a serious problem in away contests against higher-scoring opponents. Since 2012, New York is 6-22 SU on the road facing a foe that averaged greater than 21.5 points per game the previous season. It owns a 4-11-1 ATS record when an underdog spotted less than a touchdown, outscored 29.9 to 17.9 on average. This will likely be the market and game scenario at Dallas and Carolina early in the season.

Trap Game Potential

@49ers, Week 10

The Giants catch a bye before their Monday night showdown at San Francisco. Bettors will be keen on the extra preparation time for Manning and company. The two-time Super Bowl MVP, however, is just 5-13 SU and 6-12 ATS all-time against NFC or AFC West opponents when catching points. He has lost and failed to cover four of his last five on the road with a line in-between a touchdown, conditions the market will likely present in this matchup.

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