Giants +115 Over Cardinals Best Value for Week 2 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, September 10, 2014 8:43 PM GMT

Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants enjoyed contrasting fortunes in Monday’s doubleheader, with the former winning big and the latter losing big. How will they matchup on Sunday when they collide in the Big Apple? Find out as we breakdown this game and provide NFL picks. 

Arizona Cardinals (1-0, 0-0 away)
Arizona Cardinals are flush off an opening home victory, albeit a narrow 18-17 victory over San Diego. The Cardinals took a slim lead 6-3 lead into halftime, only to fall behind in the third quarter when the Chargers scored 14 unanswered points. In the 12th minute, the Cardinals scored a touchdown to draw within five points but an attempt at a two-point run conversion (in order to draw within a field goal) failed. As the clock was winding down, things started to look dire for the hosts. Then, with just about two minutes left on the clock, rookie wide receiver John Brown caught a 13-yard scoring pass from Carson Palmer to lift the Cardinals to the narrow 18-17 victory.

Carson Palmer went 24-of-37 for 304 yards and a touchdown and two touchdowns and 2 sacks (64.9 % completion and Passer QB Rating of 108.4. ESPN NFL Power Rankings have the Cardinals in 14th place (the same spot as last week), noting the side’s aggressive defense of last season continuing where it left off as one of the main reasons why they are ranked in the top half of the power rankings.

 

New York Giants (0-1, 0-0 home)
New York Giants’ west coast defense failed to launch on Monday as it succumbed to a 35-14 thumping. Overall, the Giants accounted for just
a measly 197 yards in total offense (144 yards passing and a paltry 53 yards rushing), which puts them in 31st place in the league. Eli Manning had a forgettable evening, going 18-of-33 for 163 yards and 1 touchdown, all while giving Tony Romo a run for his money in the sacks’ category (two sacks). At no point during the game, did the Giants look comfortable or enjoy a lead. What’s more, they barely put up any pressure or threatened the Lions – giving up a whopping 417 yards to Detroit, which puts the NFC North side in the top ten offense after the first week. Tom Coughlin put it best, “it was a nightmare performance.”

So where do the Giants go from here? They’ve fallen in ESPN NFL Power rankings down to 26th, falling down six points courtesy of their abysmal performance and Eli Manning seemingly having lost the plot entirely. So much for McAdoo’s unbridled optimism to see Manning throw at 70% completion.

 

Cardinals vs. Giants Betting Preview and Picks
Arizona Cardinals -135, -2.5 -110 O/U 43.0
New York Giants +115, +2.5 -110 O/U 43.0 

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Betting Analysis 
New York Giants enter their home opener in 2014 as the underdogs in NFL odds, matched at +115 to win outright. While that isn’t a hefty price tag, they are still tipped as the home dogs which just means the bookies are making it clear they aren’t too high on the Giants chances against the Cardinals.

If the Giants are to turn the odds in their favour, they’ll need to play a much tighter game. Oh and find a run game that’s worth talking about – just 53 yards on the ground! The chances of that are slim to none, at the moment.

Eli Manning’s interception rate isn’t about to change overnight; his two interception performance against the Lions marked a career 47th two-interception game which puts him at an average of 2-plus interceptions since he joined the league. It’s clear the Giants aren’t protecting him well enough, allowing him to be rushed, knocked down, pressured, harassed...you name it. One and all, the Giants would need to step it up and turn in an entirely different performance along with big game productions from Calvin Johnson, Dominique Rodgers Cormartie and Jason Pierre-Paul and the like.

Arizona Cardinals head to MetLife Stadium as the hot favourites at -135 to win outright, largely down to a decent game by Carson Palmer and Michael Floyd’s solid output against the Chargers, connecting on five receptions for more than 100 receiving yards, amongst other things. All around the Cardinals were solid. Offense picked up over 403 yards while defense held the Chargers to just 290 yards. A similar performance on both sides of the ball by the Cardinals could see the Giants’ nightmare continue into week 2 NFL betting.

 

NFL Betting Verdict
The way the Lions manhandled the Giants was concerning last week, but were the Cardinals really that impressive to deserve to be the road favourites at MetLife? That they are the favourites says a lot about their perception in NFL betting circles. Sure, they are a no-nonsense team. More guts than flash. But, when considering your NFL picks it’s worth noting, it’s the first week only that we have to go on. It’s a short week for both teams. Cardinals have to travel from the west coast all the way to the east coast. The game is an early-ish start. Giants have home advantage and they still could turn things around in week 2, so perhaps they are being written off prematurely.

NFL Picks: Giants +115 at 5Dimes