Get Hooked On Our Game-by-Game Totals & Week 8 NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Thursday, October 29, 2015 1:28 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 29, 2015 1:28 PM UTC

Week 8 provides a whole slew of intriguing NFL matchups for us to sink our teeth into and serve up total predictions. Check out where we’re going OVER and UNDER with our NFL picks.

Week 7 NFL Betting Total Recap
We’ve had back-to-back weeks in which we finished with a positive mark on our total predictions, helping us to improve to a 49-55-0 mark, and slowly work our way out of the hole we sunk into with our abysmal week 5. (See Table 1).

Table 1: Breaking Down Weekly Game-by-Game NFL Picks Records

As you can see, in week 7 we went 7-7 with our predictions for the 14-game slate on offer. We still have a ways to go to get out of the red, so let’s get cracking with our week 8 predictions.


Dolphins vs. Patriots
The Dolphins and Patriots kick off week 8 NFL betting in a game that is expected to be a shootout if the NFL total line were any indication. At 51-points on the NFL odds board, it’s the highest total currently running of all the 14 games on offer. Of course, the Patriots offense is renowned for putting up points, but with the Dolphins surging under Dan Campbell right now, they are expected to respond in kind. Both New England and Miami boast a 4-2 OVER record going into week 8. The Patriots are averaging 35.5 points scored and conceding 21 points. The Dolphins are averaging 24.5 points scored and 22.83 points conceded, albeit in the last two games, they averaged 41 points scored and 18 points conceded. If all these current trends hold up, we should be in for a scoring feast.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 51 (-110) at Bet365

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Lions vs. Chiefs
London NFL fans must be feeling hard done by. A third straight billing with a rather underwhelming matchup at Wembley Stadium, featuring two teams that are struggling on the season. Lions are 1-6 SU and the Chiefs are 2-5 SU. Uuugh! Lions have been outscored 139-to-200 through seven games while the Chiefs have been outscored 150-to-172. Both are 4-3 in O/U betting this season, but it’s clearly not down to the offensive prowess of either team. The NFL total opened on 47-points, but that total has quickly come down to 45-points with most of early action going on the UNDER. Now, it’s a tossup really which way this game is going to go, particularly as the Lions have fired a whole bunch of offensive coaches before boarding the flight to London. Still, the Lions do have several offensive baubles that could light up and the offensive shakedown might help revive Stafford and his O-line. Not sure if the Chiefs offense has any pulse though averaging 17.1 points per game scored. As such, we’re going slightly with the UNDER here.

Free NFL Pick: UNDER 45.5 at Bovada

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Cardinals vs. Browns
The Cardinals boast a 5-2 OVER record on the season, which includes a 2-1 OVER record on the road. On average, they are scoring 32.7 points per game and conceding 19 points. Cleveland Browns, somewhat surprisingly, boast a 5-1 OVER record on the season, having cashed on the UNDER for the first time in week 7 behind a 24-6 loss to the Rams. It was a let-down spot for the Browns as predicted by many NFL analysts and pundits, culminating in their worst offensive account of the season. Josh McCown’s injury didn’t help either. McCown is reportedly feeling up to starting this weekend against the Cardinals, but that could change before game time. In any event, the key to this game has to be Cleveland’s defense, which is coughing up an average of 26 points per game. Against similarly porous defenses – Detroit and Chicago – the Cardinals put up 40-plus points alone. As such, we’re leaning towards the OVER on our NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 46 (-110) at 5Dimes

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Bengals vs. Steelers
Big Ben is raring to go for this game according to reports coming out from the Pittsburgh camp, as much as Andy Dalton is eager to prove he can have the measure of the Steelers despite a 2-6 SU all-time record. The Bengals are averaging 30.3 points per game while the Steelers are averaging 22.6 points per game – albeit that average doesn’t reflect a Roethlisberger offense in its entirety. Big Ben was injured against the Rams in week 3 so to get a sense of what the average point production looks like when Big Ben is at quarterback we must look at the first two games alone. That yields of 32-points per game. Granted it’s a small cross-section but it falls in line with the Steelers and their average points produced in 2014 when Big Ben played for the better part of the season. Another thing to keep in mind is the fact that Big Ben smoked the Bengals 42-21 on the road and 27-17 at home to sweep the series in 2014. It might be a bit overzealous to expect Big Ben to be hot straight off of an injury, so the UNDER could be the smart NFL pick here.

Free NFL Pick: UNDER 48.5 (-110) at BetDsi

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Vikings vs. Bears
The Bears are 3-3 in O/U betting with an offense that is scoring an average of 20-points per game and a defense that is leaking a staggering 29 points per game. In the last three games, though, the balance between offense and defense evens out with the former contributing 24.7 points and the latter conceding 24.7 points. This could be a sign that the offense is improving and the defense tightening up. The Vikings, meanwhile, are 1-5 in O/U betting this season, thanks largely to a defense that is allowing just 17 points per game and an offense that is doing just enough to get over the hurdle with 20.7 points per game. Just on the strength of the Vikings defense, the UNDER does seem to be the popular week 8 NFL pick. However, the total on this game does seem a touch low at 42 points. Consider four of the six games the Vikings have played this season combined for more than 42 points, this game could go just OVER. Only two games went UNDER – the 20-3 loss to the Niners in week 1 and a 16-10 win over the Chiefs at home.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 42 (-110) at Bet365

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Giants vs. Saints
By all accounts, this matchup is expected to be a shootout between Drew Brees and Eli Manning. The total is trading around the 49-point mark, making it the third highest total on the week’s NFL betting card. Saints have looked lively in the last two games with an average of 29-points scored and 21 conceded. The Giants have been touch and go from week to week, but they’re scoring 20-plus points this season, save for the lacklustre 27-7 loss to the Eagles.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 49 (-110) at Bet365

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Chargers vs. Ravens
Two teams desperate to get onto the winning track, if only to save face before their fans, feature in this matchup. Defenses are porous in both camps with each side allowing an average of 28-plus points per game. Offenses are dead even producing 23-points per game on average. By those numbers alone, this could be a high scoring game. Whether it goes OVER the high 50-point total currently trading is debatable. However, considering each has had three games combine for more than 50 points, with most of those instances featuring shoddy defenses, it’s possible this will crack the 50-point total after all.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 50 (-110) at 5Dimes

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Niners vs. Rams
By all accounts, this is going to be a low scoring affair. Of all the games, at 39 points this is the only game that opened with a total UNDER 40-points. It has moved up to 39.5 points at some sportsbooks while 40-points at others. Rams are a so-so team with a good enough defense and an offense propelled by Todd Gurley. Niners are a mess from top to bottom.

Free NFL Pick: UNDER 40 (-110) at Bovada

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Bucs vs. Falcons
The Bucs and Falcons collide in a game that could go either way on the scoreboard. The Bucs are 4-2 in O/U betting while the Falcons boast a 2-4-1 OVER record. Most recently, the Falcons have hit the UNDER in three straight games. It’s no coincidence that Julio Jones injury coincides with the offense fizzling somewhat. The Bucs have posted 30-plus points in their last two games, but they did so against lesser opponents – Jaguars and Redskins. They’ve also conceded 30-plus points, which doesn’t augur well. Totals are trading at 48.5 points which might be too high for this game, especially if the Bucs suffer a let-down after allowing a 24-point lead to frit away last week, not to mention playing their second straight road game in as many weeks.

Free NFL Pick: UNDER 49 (-110) at My bookie

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Titans vs. Texans
The Texans are a mess right now on and off the field. They can’t seem to get anything going on any given Sunday, they dropped backup quarterback Ryan Mallet and Bill O’Brien is in the hot seat. The Titans, meanwhile, have ruled out Mariota for the weekend. It’s Zach Mettenberger back for the second straight week. If the Titans’ 10-7 account against the Falcons last weekend we’re any indication, we’re in for a rather dull affair that should probably hit the UNDER. 

Free NFL Pick: UNDER 43 at BetDSI

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Jets vs. Raiders
The Raiders have been putting up points in a hurry against weaker defenses such as the Ravens and Chargers. However, they’ve struggled to put up points against tough defensive-minded teams such as Denver – a game they lost 16-10 in week 5 NFL betting. The Jets boast one of the best defenses in the league right now, which is allowing 17.5 points per game. The Raiders could have a bit of a let-down this week after hanging a 37-29 win on the Chargers.

Free NFL Pick: UNDER 44 (-110) at Bovada

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Seahawks vs. Cowboys
The Seahawks boast a 3-4 OVER record on the season but a 2-2 OVER record on the road. Defense is allowing 18.3-points per game while offense is scoring 22-points per game. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are riding a four-game losing streak that includes a 2-2 OVER record and coincides with the injury to Tony Romo. Since the starter’s injury, the Cowboys have been a right mess on both sides of the ball and largely unpredictable. Oddsmakers have gone with a rather low total in the absence of Tony Romo, rolling out with a 40.5 point total that has since gone up to 41 points or thereabouts. But if last week’s account by Matt Cassel were any indication – he threw three interceptions in his debut –the Cowboys could be in for a forgettable night as the Seahawks ride roughshod over them.

Free NFL Pick:  OVER 41 (-110) at Westgate

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Packers vs. Broncos
The Packers are 2-4 in O/U betting this season, which includes a 1-1 OVER record on the road. The Broncos are similarly 2-4 in O/U betting this season and have a 0-2 OVER record at home. Both defenses have been stepping it up with the Packers averaging 16.8 points allowed and the Broncos averaging 17-points allowed. Not exactly according to perceptions of these two starlet quarterbacks and their passing prowess of seasons past that have contributed to staggering numbers on the board. As a result, it’s a rather low 43-point-ish total that opened on the NFL odds board for this game. The lowest the Packers have seen all season long, actually. Not so for the Broncos, who have been trading on totals of 42-to-46 this season. Clearly, the idea is that the defense will decide this game, underscored by the solid accounts on that side of the ball in each camp this season. Still, this is a primetime game featuring two of the best quarterbacks in recent memory. Who is to say they might not light up under the lights? The NFL betting line has moved up to 45-points already so we’re jumping on that before it gets to him with an OVER NFL pick.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 45 (-110) at Bet365

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Colts vs. Panthers
The Carolina Panthers are 3-2-1 in O/U betting this season. They had a run of three straight OVERs stopped in week 7 NFL betting behind a 27-16 win over the Eagles. At home, they boast a 1-1-1 OVER record that includes cracking a high of 43-point total with a 27-22 win over the Saints. The Colts are 3-4 in O/U betting and 2-3 in O/U betting with Andrew Luck at quarterback this season. With Andrew Luck, they are averaging just 20.8 points scored per game while the defense overall is leaking 24.9 points per game. Panthers, meanwhile, are allowing just 18.3 points per game while offense is scoring 27 points per game. All this into consideration, we’re leaning towards the OVER 46 on our NFL picks.

Free NFL Pick: OVER 46 (-110) at Bet365

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