Generous NFL Odds for Falcons vs. Vikings in Week 4 Picks

Steven Suarez

Friday, September 26, 2014 3:02 PM GMT

Before making your NFL pick for this Sunday match, keep in mind that after throttling the Buccaneers last Thursday, the Falcons have had extra time to prepare to face the Vikings. 

Will Atlanta be able to win its third straight here in Week 4? Let's run over the NFL odds.

Despite being on the road, the Falcons are the 3-point favorites at the top sportsbooks.

The O/U can be found at 46.5 right now, though a few sites are offering up 47. The 'under' has cashed in all three of Minnesota's games so far, but in only one of Atlanta's first three matchups.

Minnesota Vikings in 2014-15 regular season: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, -2.0 margin of victory
Injury Watch: Kyle Rudolph (out), Chad Greenway (doubtful), Linval Joseph (questionable), Sharrif Floyd (probable), Harrison Smith (probable), Josh Robinson (questionable), Brandon Watts (questionable)

 

Atlanta Falcons in 2014-15 regular season: 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, +10.3 margin of victory
Injury Watch: Roddy White (questionable), Harry Douglas (probable), Devin Hester (probable), Antone Smith (probable)

The Vikings had one of the most impressive showings of the season in Week 1's win over St. Louis (34-6), but they've since fallen off dramatically, losing consecutive games to New England (30-7) and New Orleans (20-9).

Against the Saints, Minnesota couldn't get much of anything going when they had the ball. Matt Cassel was injured (and has since been put on injured reserve), meaning rookie Teddy Bridgewater saw his first taste of regular season action. He was 12-of-20 for 150 yards and added six carries for 27 yards.

Running back Matt Asiata, in place of the suspended Adrian Peterson, could only muster up 35 rushing yards in the loss, though he did contribute three receptions for 36 yards. Greg Jennings led all receivers with five catches for 70 yards.

Bridgewater will get his first chance at starting this weekend up against a Falcons team that torched Tampa Bay in Week 3.

Atlanta was dominant from start to finish. Matt Ryan had 286 passing yards and three touchdowns, with two caught by Julio Jones, who racked up nine catches for 161 yards. Stephen Jackson, Antone Smith and Devin Hester all had rushing touchdowns, while the Falcons defense forced five turnovers in the convincing victory.

The Falcons have done most of their damage through the air. They're ranked first in the NFL in passing, averaging 333.7 yards per game. Elsewhere, they're #16 in rushing, #24 at stopping the pass and #19 at stopping the run.

The major concern for Atlanta right now is Roddy White, who sat out last Thursday's win. White has been able to practice this week, and it looks like he'll be able to return, which is obviously a major boost for an already potent Falcons offense.

 

Suarez Says:
We have to side with the Falcons for this NFL pick.

Atlanta looked terrific in all facets against Tampa Bay last week, and the Falcons have had a few extra days to rest up for Week 4. Meanwhile, the Vikings lost Cassel and tight end Kyle Rudolph, and are dealing with a host of other injuries defensively. They may get somewhat of a boost by turning to the exciting rookie, but we still have a lot more faith in the Falcons at this time, who are set to get White back in the mix.

Momentum is very clearly on Atlanta's side and the NFL odds seem pretty generous. We'll be adding the Falcons to our free picks this weekend.

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