Game-By-Game Breakdown For Betting Redskins Season Win Totals

Tuesday, July 5, 2016 11:05 AM GMT

Can the NFC East champions defend their title in 2016? We weigh in on the projected season win totals for the Washington Redskins and serve up our choice NFL picks?

Washington Redskins 2015 Look Back
Few would have predicted the Washington Redskins winning the NFC East title last season, but, then again, nobody could have predicted the utter and complete chaos in the division. When all was said and done, the NFC East proved the most anaemic division in the NFL, prompting wholesale changes across the field. Unfortunately, that leaves an asterisk hanging over their title-winning campaign, which culminated on a 9-7 mark.

It follows it’s going to be a tough ask for the Redskins (+325 to win NFC East at Intertops) to back 2015 up to a solid 2016 account. Last year, they had the 12th easiest NFL schedule with a 0.478 opponent winning percentage (based on 2014 win-loss records). This year they have the 16th toughest NFL schedule with a 0.492 opponent winning percentage (based on 2015 win-loss records) and Kirk Cousins by all accounts leading the charge.

Indeed, the projections for the Redskins are modestly set across sports betting platforms. Bookies hang their season NFL Odds on a 7.5 season win total with the OVER set to EVEN money (+100) and the UNDER set to -130. Just by the market alone, one can assume few are buying what the Redskins are selling.

The reason for this harks back to the toughness of their schedule this season, which includes dates with a tough NFC North field, cross-over with an AFC North that can’t be dismissed out of hand and dates with playoff standouts Arizona Cardinals and Carolina Panthers. It’s hard to imagine the Redskins will be matched as the favourites by bookies in most of these clashes.

So without further ado, we delve into our game-by-game predictions for the Washington Redskins to better serve your NFL picks. Keep in mind, these are predictions made well ahead of summer camp and preseason preparations.

 

Washington Redskins 2016 Game-by-Game Win-Loss Predictions at a glance

WEEK

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

HOME/AWAY

H

H

A

H

A

H

A

A

BYE

H

H

A

A

A

H

A

H

TEAM

PIT

DAL

NYG

CLE

BAL

PHI

DET

CIN

BYE

MIN

GB

DAL

ARI

PHI

CAR

CHI

NYG

WIN/LOSS

L

L

W

W

L

W

W

L

BYE

L

L

L

L

W

W

W

L

 

 

Week 1 vs. Pittsburgh, Monday, September 12
Kirk Cousins and the Redskins will face a tough task right out of the gates in 2016 with a visit from the Pittsburgh Steelers in the nation’s capital. The Steelers high octane offence is nothing to sneeze at and can give Cousins and Company a run for its money. It’s a Monday night affair and the pressure is going to be on the Redskins one would think after what they accomplished last season, more so than the Steelers.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 0-1

 

Week 2 vs. Dallas, Sunday, September 18
Dallas Cowboys descend on the Washington Redskins in week 2 of NFL betting. Last season, the Cowboys won this clash with Matt Cassel calling the shots, it marked their only win without Tony Romo in the game. The fact that the Cowboys weren’t able to beat any side other than the Redskins without Tony Romo spells trouble. Says a lot about the Redskins’ title-winning run too.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 0-2

 

Week 3 vs. NYG (away) Sunday, September 25
The Redskins haven’t beaten the Giants at MetLife since 2011. That trend might change given the uncertainty that hangs over the Giants at the moment – we are yet to see what impact a new coaching regime has on Eli Manning and Company. As such, the Redskins might have a fighting chance in this divisional rivalry game. Put it this way, it’s not a sure bet either way. The Giants should win given they are 5-1 against the Redskins in the past three seasons, but the Redskins could win.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 1-2

 

Week 4 vs. Cleveland, Sunday, October, 2
This is a clash many NFL betting fans are sure to circle, particularly if Kirk Cousins faces off against Washington cast-off RGIII. Both are sure to have something to prove – Cousins will want to show he was the right choice while RGIII will be eager to show it was a mistake to let him go. Where the latter is concerned, the task is going to be a bit more difficult you’d think with a new team and new coaching scheme. Cousins has the advantage with familiarity, team experience and home advantage.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 2-2

 

Week 5 vs. Baltimore (away), Sunday, October 9
Most NFL bettors can agree Baltimore’s 2015 season was an anomaly. It’s unlikely they’ll crash and burn in a similar fashion. A much healthier Ravens side is going to be tough to beat the Redskins on the road.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-3

 

Week 6 vs. Philadelphia, Sunday, October 16
The Redskins swept the series last season with the Eagles, winning 23-20 in Washington and 38-24 in Philadelphia. Chip Kelly’s departure leaves the Eagles in tatters somewhat with lots of question marks that are tough to answer at this early vantage point. However, Cousins and Company are sure to fancy their chances against an Eagles side in flux.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 3-3

 

Week 7 vs. Detroit (away), Sunday, October 23

The Detroit Lions are coming off a disappointing 2015 season and losing Calvin Johnson to retirement. Matthew Stafford is one of the most unpredictable quarterbacks in the league, you never know when he’ll blow hot and cold. Without Calvin Johnson as a target, we’re erring towards more cold than hot. It’s an away game and that presents a tough ask for the Redskins, but this is a winnable game considering the way the rest of their NFL schedule stacks up. The date with the Lions marks the first of a two-game road trip, which includes a cross-Atlantic trek to London. Yikes.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 4-3

 

Week 8 vs. Cincinnati (away), Sunday, October 30

The Redskins first trip to London has them taking on Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals. On paper, the Bengals are a tough prospect. How the cross-Atlantic journey affects both sides though remains to be seen, but it’s sure to make an impact on this matchup. It could make it a much closer game than it would have been had they collided in Cincy.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 4-4



Week 9 BYE

 

 

 

Week 10 vs. Minnesota, Sunday, November 13
Things could start to go south for the Redskins from this vantage point with four of their last eight games featuring last season’s playoff contenders beginning with the NFC North champions Minnesota. The Redskins are at home but the Vikings were solid on the road last season with 5-3 SU record. By all accounts, this could go either way.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 4-5

 

Week 11 vs. Green Bay, Sunday, November 20
Last season the Redskins lost to the Green Bay Packers in the wild card game of the playoffs 35-18 in Washington. Aaron Rodgers and Company – a healthy Jordy Nelson mainly – should fancy their chances once again in the nation’s capital in primetime NFL betting.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 4-6

 

Week 12 vs. Dallas (away), Thursday, November 24
A date with NFC East favourites Dallas Cowboys after a visit from the highly-fancied Green Bay Packers in NFL outright betting is hardly ideal. A short week to boot and a Thanksgiving extravaganza. So long as Tony Romo is in full swing, this will be a tough matchup for the Redskins to win on the road.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 4-7

 

Week 13 vs. Arizona (away), Sunday, December 4
Talk about no favours from the NFL schedulers – a date against NFC West heavyweights and champions Arizona Cardinals following back-to-back dates with the Packers and Cowboys. Cardinals finished 7-1 SU on the road last season and reached the NFC Championship game where they lost to the Carolina Panthers. Carson Palmer had a great season and there’s little to suggest the Cardinals won’t pick up from where they left off.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 4-8

 

Week 14 vs. Philadelphia (away), Sunday, December 11
Last season, the Redskins swept the series with the Eagles. They could potentially do so again this term given all the question marks that hang over the Eagles ahead of the NFL 2016-2017 season.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 5-8

 

Week 15 vs. Carolina, Sunday, December 19
Carolina Panthers finished runners-up to Denver Broncos last season in the Super Bowl. It remains to be seen how well the Panthers play in the coming season but they’ve certainly raised the bar. Once in a while, the Redskins can be counted on a major upset and this is the game that many NFL bettors and pundits have circled to fit the bill. The Redskins are at home and playing in primetime.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 6-8

 

Week 16 vs. Chicago (away), Sunday, December 24
The Chicago Bears at Soldier Field are a conundrum, a right head-scratcher. Last term they finished 1-7 SU in Chicago all while John Fox stood on the sidelines. The previous season they finished 2-6 SU at home. Three wins in 16 home games. Think the Redskins will fancy their chances unless Fox lives up to his reputation and turns around the Bears in his second season.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 7-8

 

Week 17 vs. NY Giants, Sunday, January 1
The Redskins close their season against the NY Giants. Last season, the Giants crushed the Redskins 32-21 at MetLife but the Redskins avoided the sweep with a 20-14 win at home. A lot depends on whether either of these teams has anything to play for in the postseason. Both quarterbacks can be error-prone as well so it’s a right tossup for your NFL picks. Redskins have home advantage and should win, but the Giants could win.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record: 7-9

 

NFL Season Win Total Predictions: By our humble estimation we’ve settled on a 7-9 SU mark for the Washington Redskins, albeit a few of their matchups appear to be tossups in the context of the preseason. One could argue therefore the Redskins might conceivably fall within 6-to 9 wins, which would put them on either side of the projected season win totals. Push comes to shove, we’re erring on the lower end only because the NFL schedule looms tricky and their opponents quite tough. So we’re recommending an NFL pick on the UNDER 7.5 at -130 or thereabouts depending on your choice sportsbook. That said, it won’t be shocking if they do surprise. After all, the OVER 7.5 is priced at Even money, which is a decent value and suggests it’s not out of the realm of possibility.

NFL Picks: Under 7.5 at -130