Game-By-Game Breakdown For Betting NY Giants Season Win Totals

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, July 6, 2016 6:55 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 6, 2016 6:55 PM UTC

Where do the NY Giants go in 2016? Up or down? We serve up game-by-game predictions and NFL picks with a view towards the 8.5 projected season win total currently trading for the NY Giants.

NY Giants 2015 Look Back
The NY Giants close the chapter on the Tom Coughlin era in 2016. A new coach in Ben McAdoo (well sort of), splashing the cash in the offseason (yet again) with some big eye-catching grabs and a relatively easy NFL schedule – second easiest according to last season’s win-loss records – and things might be looking up for the G-men finally. Or are they?

Do the Giants exceed NFL market expectations that have them sitting on an 8.5 projected season win total or do they nosedive in the post-Tom Coughlin Era? By the NFL odds, it’s not so certain with the OVER 8.5 trading at -105 at Bet365 and the UNDER 8.5 trading at -125. Both sides of the total are backed in above EVEN money, making it a bit of a tossup for our NFL picks. Then again, that’s been the case with the Giants from season to season. Full of promise going into the season only to fall to the wayside of expectations.

In any event, we’re taking a stab at predicting the NY Giants’ season win totals for the 2016 season in this game-by-game preview. [Advisory note: take this with a mega grain of salt. These are after all way too early NFL betting predictions and NFL picks, with the season still two months away from getting underway. Lots can happen from now until then].


NY Giants 2016 Game-by-Game Win-Loss Predictions at a glance
Week 1 vs. Dallas (away), Sunday, September 11
For the second straight season and third time in four seasons the G-men open their NFL season against the Dallas Cowboys. Arguably, none of those openers were as memorable as last term’s 27-26 loss at the AT&T Stadium, for all the wrong reasons. Blowing the lead in the dying seconds providing the main talking point, which, in hindsight, prove to set the tone for the rest of the season and, eventually, culminated in Tom Coughlin’s departure.  While many would maintain the Giants should have won that game, the reality is they didn’t. They lost their 2013 and 2015 openers in Dallas, as well as their 2012 home opener against Dallas. Overall, the G-men are 1-6 SU against Tony Romo and Company. Therefore, based on last season and these NFL betting trends, we can’t in good conscience say that the G-men will unequivocally flip the script. That doesn’t mean they won’t. It’s a new season, a clean slate with the McAdoo Era set to get underway. Anything can happen in the first week of NFL betting as well, one of the toughest weeks to predict accurately. Still, the evidence for yet another loss is quite compelling. So that’s how we’re tipping this game on our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 0-1


Week 2 vs. New Orleans, Sunday, September 18
Last season, this matchup served up a shootout for the ages at the Superdome, a 52-49 loss for the Giants at the Superdome that marked another headscratcher with the Giants blowing the lead to lose a second straight game and fall 0-2 on the season. Calls the for the firing of Tom Coughlin were heard across the Big Apple  then, and gutsy pictures of Eli Manning wearing the dunce under scathing headlines winked at passers-by from newsstands. Fortunately, for the G-men, the rematch is in New Jersey. Drew Brees and the Saints are a hit-and-miss on the road, more often than not. The G-man should win this one at MetLife.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 1-1

Week 3 vs. Washington, Sunday, September 25
Last season, the Giants and Redskins split the series with each side winning at home. Giants edged the Redskins 32-21 on a Thursday Night, marking their first win of the 2015 season and went onto to win another two games before reverting back to their losing ways. At the end of the day, the win over the Redskins marked the first of just two divisional wins on the season – the other being a win over a Tony-Romo-less Dallas at MetLife. The G-men are largely an unknown under McAdoo as head coach so it remains to be seen how they stack up in 2016. In our Redskins game-by-game preview, we have this one as a W for the visitors. But as stipulated in said preview, it’s a tossup. How we put it: the G-men should win but the Redskins could serve up a surprise. As this space is dedicated to the Giants and to press the toss-up nature of this matchup we’re giving it to hosts here.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 2-1


Week 4 vs. Minnesota (away), Monday, October 3
Minnesota was a tough place to play last season as the Vikings went 6-2 SU at home. Don’t the Giants know only too well as they lost 49-17 in week 16 of NFL betting. That loss stung but so did the many losses the Giants incurred in 2015. Do the Giants get their revenge when they travel to Minnesota in the mild temperatures of October on Monday Night football? Perhaps. But with the Vikings earmarked as an up-and-coming team, it’s going to be a tough ask you’d think.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-2


Week 5 vs. Green Bay (away), Sunday, October 9
Although the Green Bay Packers failed to defend their NFC North crown last year, ceding it to rivals Minnesota Vikings, there’s no doubt which of the two is the powerhouse in the NFC North. Packers are installed to win the division this term at -150 NFL odds, a mark underlined by their solid home form over recent seasons. Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau with a healthy Jordy Nelson traipsing about the field on Sunday Night Football and, not least of all, in a short week with back-to-back road games is a tough prospect for most sides.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 2-3


Week 6 vs. Baltimore, Sunday, October 16
Inasmuch as the NY Giants disappointed last season so too did the Baltimore Ravens, who slipped to a forgettable 5-11 SU mark when all was said and done.  Injuries and a tough schedule conspired to undo their season, but nobody is holding it against them. New season. New beginnings. By and large, the Ravens are tipped to be playoff contenders once again, making this is a game they’ll fancy their chances to win on the road. Still, the ever-mercurial Eli Manning and the rising star Odell Beckham Jr. will have home advantage and we can’t rule out the possibility the pair might just enjoy one of those nights when it all seems to just go their way.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 3-3


Week 7 vs. Los Angeles (London), Sunday, October 23
The NY Giants travel to London to take on the newly-minted Los Angeles Rams at Wembley Stadium. It’s impossible to say with any certainty what either team is really going to be like and how they’ll fare at this stage of the season. We can only go by past experience and preconceived notions really. That and the taxing cross-Atlantic travel, which let’s face it is a much longer flight from Los Angeles than it is from New York. Slight advantage to the G-men we’d say. That and the sum of their parts does make them a slightly better team on paper. We’re giving it to the Giants at Wembley on our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 4-3


Week 8 vs. BYE


Week 9 vs. Philadelphia, Sunday, November 6
The Giants were swept by the Philadelphia Eagles last season. What does that say about the Giants in Tom Coughlin’s last season at the helm? Nothing good given how abysmal the Chip Kelly experiment proved to be in the end. Still, Kelly had the answer to Coughlin’s recipe. Will it prove to be the case when McAdoo and Pederson cross swords? Hard to say, really. The smart bet is to back the home side in this way to early NFL betting preview. But don’t go betting the farm on it.

NFL Picks: Win
Record: 5-3


Week 10 vs. Cincinnati, Monday, November 14
Regular season Andy Dalton can typically be relied upon to show up, but there is a caveat with that statement: that is, primetime Andy Dalton during the regular season isn’t quite so reliable and nowhere near the sure bet. Had this been a Sunday 1pm start we might be calling it for the Bengals. As it’s MNF betting, the Giants could capitalise with a home edge to boot.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 6-3


Week 11 vs. Chicago, Sunday, November 20
Every so often Eli Manning can be counted on to throw in a head-scratcher, an interception prone account that could have fans on edge.  This is the game that could prove to be such. Not saying the Giants are a sure bet to lose to Jay Cutler and Company, but only that it could happen. Apparently, Bears are supposed to be a bit better this season, not to mention one can never discount the experience of John Fox. We’re on the fence with this one for our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 6-4


Week 12 vs. Cleveland (away), Sunday, November 27
The Giants descend on RGIII and the Cleveland Browns in week 12 NFL betting. Will RGIII be the starter then? Hard to say given his track record over the last few seasons and horrible luck with injuries. Then again, even if he’s healthy can we trust in the Cleveland Browns and their statistical experiment this season?

NFL Picks: Win
Record 7-4


Week 13 vs. Pittsburgh (away), Sunday, December 4
A trip to Heinz Arena in December might be a bittersweet homecoming for McAdoo. Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers are a tough prospect. Hard to see the Giants taking the road win in Pittsburgh.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 7-5


Week 14 vs. Dallas, Sunday, December 11
The Dallas Cowboys descend on MetLife stadium in week 14 NFL betting. The Giants haven’t swept the Cowboys since 2011 and they’ve lost to Tony Romo and Company more times than they care to remember since then (see Week 1 above). This time though, the Giants come up trumps at home to the Cowboys and take the pivotal win.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 8-5


Week 15 vs. Detroit, Sunday, December 18
The jury is out on the Detroit Lions and how they’ll stack up in 2016. They’re coming off one of their worst seasons in recent memory and losing Calvin Johnson to retirement. We’re loather to back the Lions as such, not to mention in a road game under blistering conditions in New Jersey in the middle of December.

NFL Picks: Win
Record 9-5


Week 16 vs. Philadelphia (away), Thursday, December 22
Eli Manning and the Giants could potentially lay an egg in this matchup with the Eagles on the road. In 2014, Manning served up a 27-0 egg in Philly in week 6 and then lost the last game of the season to the Eagles 34-26 at home. Last year, they lost both fixtures – 27-7 in Philly and 35-30 at home in week 17. This year, they face the Eagles on the road down the stretch where they haven’t won since 2013 when they edged the Eagles 15-7 in week 8 NFL betting.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 9-6


Week 17 vs. Washington (away), Sunday, January 1
Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins might not be fighting for the divisional title at this point in the season, but one can’t dismiss them out of hand either. It remains to be seen how well the Redskins play in their title defence campaign. In 2013 and 2014, the Giants swept the series with the Redskins. Last year, Cousins led the Redskins to the 20-14 win in the nation’s capital, finally snapping that trend. It’s worth pointing out as well that the Giants have gone 2-4 in the division for the last two seasons and 3-3 in 2013 (so 7-11 in three seasons). The Giants are also just 12-20 SU on the road since 2012.

NFL Picks: Loss
Record 9-7


NFL Season Win Total Predictions for the Giants: According to our game-by-game predictions, we have the Giants making some progress but whether that’s enough to see them into the playoffs hinges largely on how the NFC East division as a whole performs.

By our bold predictions above the Giants could potentially finish above the projected 8.5 season win total currently trading on the NFL odds board. We’ve got the Giants finishing as high as 9-7 SU. Of course, there are several tossups – as is generally the case with each and every team’s schedule in the NFL and such early NFL previews that are largely based on supposition and past trends – that could go either way and see the Giants dip just below the 8.5 projected season win total. However, with the second easiest NFL schedule in the NFL, you’d think two-time Super Bowl champion Eli Manning could get the Giants over that hump. As such, we’re leaning ever-so-slightly with the OVER 8.5 at -105 for our NFL picks.

NFL Picks: Over 8.5 at -105

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