Friday Preseason Picks: Home Is Where the Heart Is

matthew stafford

Jay Pryce

Thursday, August 24, 2017 2:47 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 24, 2017 2:47 PM GMT

Bet the home teams when the Patriots visit the Lions and Seahawks host the Chiefs on Friday night in the lone two NFL preseason games. Find out why here.

New England Patriots at Detroit Lions

Something about Patriots head coach Bill Belichick, the preseason and Detroit doesn’t mix, particularly on offense. The Pats have scored 9, 10 and 13 points in August vs. the Lions since 2000. Detroit star quarterback Matthew Stafford played in the last two meetings, each Week 3 dress rehearsals, lighting up the New England defense for a combined 366 yards and 3 TDs on 24-of-39 passing. Overall, the Lions scored 74 points in the two matchups, accruing 923 total yards, 685 through the air.

Can bettors expect better from New England this time around? Odds are it might be more of the same. Belichick’s squad is winless this exhibition period after giving up 31 and 27 points to the not-so-powerhouse Jaguars and Texans offenses. The Pats are Super Bowl favorites yet again and will be fine for the regular season, but the preseason focus is definitely on something other than winning.

The Lions are 17-2 SU in their last 19 preseason games at Ford Field, most as chalk. The Patriots have failed to cover four straight as preseason road favorites, while Detroit is 4-0 SU and ATS as home pups since 2003. Stafford appears to be over the finger issues that slowed him down last year, passing sharp and accurately in limited action. Look for the Lions to ride his arm to an early lead and close out the game against a suspect New England defense.

Free NFL Pick: Lions +130Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks, arguably the best-looking team in the NFL this exhibition period, are playing great on both sides of the ball. The one blemish is the O-line, refurbished after ranking last in the league by Pro Football Focus in 2016. Left tackle George Fant suffered a season-ending knee injury in last week’s 20-13 win over the Vikings, making the front even more worrisome. If the Seahawks falter, it will be because quarterback Russell Wilson is searching for daylight.

Chiefs head coach Andy Reid told reporters his starters will play three quarters. Rookie quarterback Patrick Mahomes could see action with the first team if starter Alex Smith puts in a productive first half, but don’t count on it. Seattle is jumping out to early leads, outscoring opponents 48-23 before halftime through two games. Defensive linemen Chris Jones, Roy Miller, and All-Pro safety Eric Berry will make their Chiefs preseason debuts, giving the unit a nice boost.

Seahawks head coach Pete Carroll said at the start of camp this preseason squad is the deepest he’s ever fielded in Seattle. It will not shock to see the team run the table headed into the regular-season opener against the Packers. Defense will feature Friday night. Carroll’s unit has allowed more than 20 points twice in 13 preseason home games since taking over in 2010. K.C is 3-18-1 ATS in its last 22 as preseason underdogs. Lay the points with the Seahawks. Shop some of the top-rated online sportsbooks to catch a field goal.

Free NFL Pick: Seahawks -3Best Line Offered: Sports Interaction

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