Free Week 8 Game By Game Against the Spread NFL Picks

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, October 28, 2015 11:25 AM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2015 11:25 AM UTC

Join us for our  game-by-game NFL picks ATS using the best NFL odds from a whole host of sportsbook platforms available online. We've got you covered for all 14-games in week 8 NFL betting.

Week 7 NFL Betting Recap For ATS NFL Picks
We are riding back-to-back so-so weeks with our NFL picks against the spread. Despite the setbacks, we are still a positive 53-50-2 through seven weeks. (See Table 1).

Table 1: Breaking Down Weekly Game-by-Game NFL Picks Records

Let’s see if we can bounce back with a big week as we serve up our week 8 NFL predictions for your betting thrills. Keep in mind that these presented NFL picks are locked in on the NFL betting lines available on the day of writing and reflected in the pick itself. NFL odds and lines continue to move throughout the week, so NFL picks can be subject to change.

Here goes…


Dolphins vs. Patriots
The Miami Dolphins are surging behind a two-game winning streak and outscoring opponents by 46-points combined over the last two weeks, which coincides with the advent of inspirational coach Dan Campbell. Their upcoming game against familiar foes is a different test altogether, and should give us a sense of what the Dolphins are really about when it comes to the standard in the NFL. Patriots are 3-2-1 ATS with a 14.5-point winning margin on the season and 1-1-1 ATS at home with a 16-point winning margin at home this season. Since 2014, they are 7-5-1 ATS with a 16.9-point winning margin at home 3-4-1 ATS against divisional opponents with a 5-point winning margin. By those stats, there is every chance the Dolphins could cover the 7.5-point spread currently trading on this game. That said, the Dolphins are 1-4 ATS when playing New England on the road in the last five meetings and 3-6-1 ATS in the last ten meetings overall. Patriots have covered the last three meetings with the Dolphins at home, with spreads ranging from 6.5-to-11.5-points.

NFL Picks: Patriots -7.5 (-105) at 5Dimes

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Lions vs. Chiefs (London)
The NFL betting line opened on a field goal but has since rocketed up to six points at most sportsbooks. That’s double the opening line, marking one of the biggest moves on the NFL odds board. Complicating this NFL picks are several factors: a) it’s taking place on neutral territory at Wembley Stadium, b) Lions have just finished a small firing spree with several coaches being shown the EXIT sign, and c) Matthew Stafford was injured in last week’s losing effort to the Vikings. All in all, though, neither the Chiefs nor the Lions are impressing anybody this season. The Lions (1-6 SU) are after a loss to the Vikings at home, slipping to 0-2 against their divisional rivals. The Chiefs (2-5 SU) are after their second win of the season, but few NFL bettors are buying what they are selling. Can this game be more of a tossup than it is?

NFL Picks: Lions +6 (-110) at Bet365

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Cardinals vs. Browns
The Cardinals are 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS on the season with a 6.1-point winning margin. They are coming off a Monday Night 26-18 win over the hapless Ravens but failed to come through as the whopping 10-point home chalk at closing doors. Winners were those that jumped on the Cardinals in early NFL betting markets with spreads around 6-to-7-points. In week 8 NFL betting, the Cardinals take on the Cleveland Browns, who are dealing with an injury to Josh McCown. It’s not yet known whether he’ll start or whether they’ll be forced to rely on Johnny Manziel. Whichever it is, it might not make a whole lot of difference to the bottom line. Consider the Cardinals have beaten struggling teams this season such as the Bears (48-23) and Lions (42-17), for a 2-1 ATS mark and a 12.7 winning margin on average. The four-point spread currently available appears to be right in their alley.

NFL Picks: Cardinals -4 (-120) at BetOnline

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Bengals vs. Steelers
The Bengals and Steelers collide in week 8 NFL betting for a pivotal AFC North showdown. Big Ben’s status is yet to be confirmed for this game, which is why this game is off the board. However, it does look like he’s going to start. Based on Big Ben’s return to the game, which is huge towards the Steelers’ chances, we like the home underdogs to cover. Andy Dalton is 2-6 SU all-time against the Steelers, including back-to-back losses last season. This is going to be a must-win game for the Steelers if they hope to close the gap on the Bengals and the return of Big Ben should be a catalyst for a standout divisional showdown.

NFL Picks: Steelers +1.5 (-110) at Bet365

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Vikings vs. Bears
Minnesota Vikings are coming off a road win over the Lions, but it’s their first road win in six outings going back to last season’s week 8 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Nevertheless, oddsmakers are high on the Vikings sending them into this game as the road faves for a second straight week. In more ways than one, this game feels like a bit of a trap. Back-to-back road wins is tough for any team, not least a team that has a 3-8 SU record on the road since 2014, which includes a 3-point losing margin. Coming through as the road faves both SU and ATS is going to be a challenge therefore, more so than the NFL odds would suggest.

Bears are 3-3 ATS this season with a 9.8-point losing margin on the season and 1-2 ATS at home with a 10.3-point losing margin at home. Not exactly a ringing endorsement of their NFL odds, but it’s worth pointing out that they are 5-1 SU with a 1.3-point losing margin after a bye week since 2010 – a record and margin skewed by a 55-14 loss to the Packers on the road last season following a week 9 bye, the only loss in five seasons following a bye.

NFL Picks: Bears +2.5 (-110) at Bet365

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Giants vs. Saints
The Giants and Saints collide in week 8 NFL betting, both coming off winning accounts in week 7. Saints are behind a two-game winning streak, including pulling off the upset over the Colts as the 5.5-point road underdogs. Giants, meanwhile, avenged their opening loss to the Cowboys winning 27-20 and coming through as the 3-point home chalk. With the Saints stepping it up in the last couple of weeks and looking to close the gap on the Panthers and Falcons, it’s going to be tough for the Giants to win this game. That said, it’s a bit of a homecoming for Eli Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. Look for a close game that could go either way so we’re hedging bets with the Saints to win SU but Giants to cover.

NFL Picks: Giants +3.5 (+100) at Bovada

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Chargers vs. Ravens
The Chargers and Ravens fall short of preseason expectations in spectacular fashion. Few would have predicted the pair would be propping up their respective divisions with just three wins on the season amongst them (Chargers 2-5 SU and Ravens 1-6 SU). Ironically, neither team is particularly bad on paper, but somehow it’s just not translating on the field. For our money, this game is a total tossup. San Diego, however, are 0-3 SU and ATS on the road with a 9.7-point losing margin. The Ravens are 0-2 ATS at home with a 3.5-point losing margin.  

NFL Picks: Ravens -3.5 (-120) at Westgate

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Niners vs. Rams
The Niners are in flux right now and Colin Kaepernick is a shadow of his former self, the breakout quarterback that led the Niners to the Super Bowl three years ago. His confidence is at a fundamental low and it appears the locker room is divided in its loyalty towards their starter. That’s not a recipe for success. Then again, all this is coming on the heels of an abysmal loss to the Seahawks, a side he’s never really figured out and has his number. Prior to week 7 NFL betting, the Niners showed some grit in a loss to the Packers and Giants and win over the Ravens. Perhaps the Niners won’t come out and win this game in St. Louis, but they have a shot to cover the absurdly large spread that is verging on double-digits. Unless we’re mistaken, the 3-3 SU Rams haven’t blown any team off the field, save for the Browns last weekend which was to be expected given their porous defense. This could be a game that is closer than the NFL oddsmakers would have you believe, if not go against the grain completely.

NFL Picks: Niners +9.5 (-120) at 5Dimes

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Bucs vs. Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons are 5-2 SU and looking like a certain playoff contender from an NFC South division that seemingly has turned around its fortunes this season. However, the last three games left much to be desired – a very lucky win in OT over the Redskins when Kirk Cousins threw a pick-6, a hefty 31-21 loss to the Saints on the road and a scrappy 10-7 win over the Titans led by backup Zack Mettenberger. They may be 2-1 ATS with an 11.7-point winning margin but that is largely down to the hefty win over the Texans. The Bucs are 2-1 ATS on the road with a 1.3-point losing margin. They are coming off a rather disappointing loss to the Redskins in week 7, allowing Washington to rally from a 24-point deficit and win 31-30. It’s a tough loss to overcome, let alone on the road for a second straight week. That said, they could keep this game a lot closer than the odds makers would have it.

NFL Picks: Bucs +7 (+100) Betdsi

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Titans vs. Texans
The Titans and Texans collide in Houston, both desperate to get back into the win column. One thing is certain: one will win. Question is which team will it be? Houston have home advantage and will be keen to erase the memory of the embarrassment in Miami last week. The Titans, meanwhile, struggled behind Zack Mettenberger in a 10-7 loss to the Falcons. Mariota has been ruled out for this game, so it’s back to Mettenberger for the second week. Ugh! If the Texans don’t get the win and cover in this game at the expense of the punch-less Mettenberger offense at home, the entire team might as well miss the next flight and not bother showing up at all.

NFL Picks: Texans -4 (-105) BetOnline

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Jets vs. Raiders
The Raiders are riding the high of an upset on the road at the expense of divisional rivals San Diego Chargers. The Jets are coming off a bitter loss to the Patriots after leading for a stretch and giving Tom Brady and Company something to think about. Jets are 4-1-1 ATS with a 7.8-point winning margin while the Raiders are 3-3 ATS with a 1.5-point losing margin. It’s a long trip for the Jets to make in week 8 NFL betting after an emotional loss to a divisional rival, but the Jets have shown bounce-back ability this season. After losing to the Eagles, the Jets bounced back with a 27-14 win over the Dolphins in London – another long trek across the pond, mind. They followed that win up with a 34-20 win over the Redskins out of the bye week at home.

NFL Picks: Jets -1 (-110) at Westgate

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Seahawks vs. Cowboys
Cowboys are in a whole lot of trouble without Tony Romo and their fortunes aren’t going to improve anytime soon. Not with a well-rested Seattle Seahawks, flush off a statement-making win over the Niners in week 7 NFL betting. It may have been their first road win of the season, but the public is buying what they are selling, particularly against a Cowboys side that is slated to suffer the services of Matt Cassel for the foreseeable. Seahawks are hefty road faves in this game, but jump on the line before it moves above any higher.

NFL Picks: Seahawks -6 (-110) at Bet365

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Packers vs. Broncos
Hold the press: The Broncos are home underdogs???? The lack of respect the Broncos are receiving in NFL betting markets is somewhat surprising. Peyton Manning may not be having a Peyton-Manning-like start to the season: throwing TDs with abandon and putting up hefty passing yards as he was known to do in seasons past. But so what about that when they are 6-0 SU on the season and when, for the first time, it seems like the responsibility of winning games doesn’t rest entirely on his shoulders with one of the best defenses in the league right now taking the lead. It’s the best defense he’s ever had at his disposal. Point is, there’s an old adage that goes along that vein: defense wins games.

Broncos are still 6-0 SU on the season and looking to improve to 7-0 SU with a home date against the Green Bay Packers. Home date (just to repeat) where they are riding a ten-game winning streak. Green Bay Packers are also 6-0 SU, but past NFL trends reveal that they aren’t so impervious on the road. Packers are just 6-5 ATS since 2014 as the away team with a 0.1-point winning margin.

NFL Picks: Broncos +3 (-110) at 5Dimes

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Colts vs. Panthers
Here’s a sentence few NFL bettors thought they’d be contemplating this season: the Colts are just 1-4 SU behind Andrew Luck at quarterback this season. Fortunately, Matt Hasselbeck did his job in relief well to give the Colts a fighting chance this season and two pivotal wins to put the woeful Colts atop the rather dysfunctional AFC South division. However, the Colts are coming off an emotional loss to the Patriots and a lacklustre 27-20 loss to the Saints, in which Luck and the Colts were blanked 20-0 in the first half. In the second half, the Colts perked up, but one had the sense it was all a little too late, and yet another game in a row where Luck put up some garbage yards and TDs that weren’t ever going to be enough for the win.

By comparison, Cam Newton and the Panthers are riding the momentum of a six-game winning streak to start the season, underscored by a big win over the Seahawks on the road and backed up by a win over the Eagles in primetime action on Sunday. For a second straight week, the Panthers are going to enjoy the limelight. They are the popular NFL pick to win outright across most sports betting circles. The Panthers are a perfect 2-0 SU against AFC South opposition having beaten the Jaguars 20-9 and the Texans 24-17. Question is whether they’ll be able to cover the hefty 6.5-to-7-point spread at the expense of the Colts. As mentioned above, Luck has been able to put up late TDS to close the gap on the scoreboard in both of his last two starts. Against the Patriots, it earned the Colts the cover as the 8.5-point home underdogs while against the Saints they failed to cover as the 5.5-point home chalk.

NFL Picks: Panthers -6.5 (-110) at Bet365

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