Free Week 4 NFL Picks: Back Bills Spread Against Visiting Giants

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, September 29, 2015 4:49 PM UTC

Tuesday, Sep. 29, 2015 4:49 PM UTC

The New York Giants temporarily saved their season with a victory in Week 3, but all the good from that would be forgotten. The Bills favorites on BetOnline NFL odds with a total of 46.5 points.

Pressure Off Tom Coughlin ... For Now
Eli Manning was largely to blame for the Giants' losses to the Dallas Cowboys and Atlanta Falcons. But he was quite good last Thursday in the 32-21 win over Washington. Manning completed a season-high 71.9 percent for 279  yards, two touchdowns and no picks -- Manning hasn't been picked off yet this year. Rueben Randle had been very quiet in the first two games but had seven catches for 116 yards and a touchdown against the Redskins. And Odell Beckham Jr. was his typical good self with seven catches for 79 yards and a score.

Manning is expected to add another weapon for this one in No. 2 receiver Victor Cruz. Coming off a ruptured patella tendon that ended his 2014 season and then a training camp calf injury that has sidelined him the past two months, Cruz is expected to make his 2015 debut against the Bills. The team didn't want to rush him back on the short week last Thursday. Cruz and Beckham have only played two career games together. Through the first 15 games of his career, Beckham has 110 catches – 14 more than any other player in NFL history. He also has 14 touchdowns in those 15 games, fourth-most in league history.

“I just wanted to make sure that I’m 100 percent before I go back out there,” Cruz said. “I want to be clicking on all cylinders. I want everything to be full force just to prevent another injury."

It's not yet clear if starting cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie will play against Buffalo. He was inactive for Week 3 with a concussion. Ditto for left tackle Ereck Flowers as he was inactive against the Redskins with an  ankle injury. Both were on the practice field Monday so that's a good sign.

The Giants are 2-1 against the spread on NFL picks and 2-1 'over/under.'


Bills Destroyed Dolphins
Buffalo (2-1) opened the season with an impressive win over the visiting Colts, were beaten at home in Week 2 by the Patriots, and then looked really impressive on Sunday with a 41-14 win at Miami. Tyrod Taylor had his best game of the young season, completing 21-for-29 for 277 yards, three touchdowns and no picks. Taylor is a true dual threat with 96 yards on 17 carries this season and often uses his legs to neutralize pass rushes. He could cause a problem for a Giants defense that is ranked 31st in the NFL, allowing 410.3 yards per game. 

"He's real dynamic," New York defensive end Robert Ayers said. "If he can't find someone open and he decides to take off and run, [Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie] might have to come save us. He's super-fast and he's smart."

Rookie Karlos Williams carried 12 times for 110 yards and a touchdown vs. Miami. He has scored in each of the three games. LeSean McCoy struggled on the ground with 16 yards on 11  carries but did have a receiving touchdown. He has been dealing with a hamstring injury. The Bills' defense picked off Miami  QB Ryan Tannehill three times. Preston Brown had two of them, returning one for a 43-yard score and a 24-0 lead. Through three games, he has 25 tackles, three passes defensed, two interceptions, a forced fumble and a touchdown. Pro Bowl numbers.

Buffalo didn't escape that Miami game unscathed. Starting receiver Sammy Watkins left in the first quarter with a calf injury. It's a mild strain and Coach Rex Ryan admits that Watkins could miss Week 4. Watkins had one catch for 39 yards before exiting the game. It's also not clear if right guard John Miller will play after he left in the first quarter with a groin injury.

The Bills will be playing their second game in the first four weeks of the season against a team with extra time to prepare. The Patriots played on a Thursday night in Week 1 before facing Buffalo.

Buffalo is 2-1 ATS on NFL odds and 2-1 O/U.

NFL Free Picks: Wish I knew if Watkins was playing. I'll give the points. Go 'under' the total.

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