Free Week 12 NFL Picks: Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers

David Lawrence

Thursday, November 26, 2015 11:40 AM GMT

Thursday, Nov. 26, 2015 11:40 AM GMT

Green Bay flexed their muscles in the NFC North with a big win at Minnesota to move to 7-3. Chicago fell to 4-6 with a tough loss at home to Denver, who will be worthy of our NFL picks?

***Bears vs. Packers Betting Preview***
***Thanksgiving Games Top Props***
***Bears vs. Packers ATS Pick***

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -8 -105 at Pinnacle
The Packers opened as 8-point favorites at home in this primetime game, then the NFL odds moved to -10 before sitting on -9 as of Tuesday. The Packers halted their three-game skid with an excellent performance against the Vikings in a game where they re-asserted themselves as the dominant team in the NFC North. Aaron Rodgers didn't play great in their 30-14 win, but the defense held Adrian Peterson to 45 yards and forced the Vikings to play from behind. The Bears battled valiantly, but lost 17-15 and they've been decimated by injuries, especially at the skill positions. But they're still in the hunt for a wild-card spot and a win this week would go a long way for Chicago. Jay Cutler failed to throw a touchdown pass for the first time this season, but this might be the best stretch of football that he has ever played.

Bears vs. Packers Spread

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Bears vs. Packers Totals

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Bears vs. Packers Money Line

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Injuries
TE Martellus Bennett has been dealing with a rib injury and he is questionable for Thursday, while WR Alshon Jeffery missed the Denver game with a groin problem. However, the Bears might be getting RB Matt Forte back from his knee injury, which would be a huge boost for Cutler and the offense. RB Ka'Deem Carey left the Denver game with a concussion, while S Antrel Rolle is highly questionable with a knee injury.

For the Packers, WR Devante Adams and RB Eddie Lacy were limited in practice on Monday with ankle injuries, but Lacy will play on Thursday and Adams is likely to play. C Corey Linsley also had a bad ankle, and he is unlikely to suit up on Thursday. 

 

Trends
The Bears are 6-4 ATS this season, and they're an excellent 4-1 ATS on the road. The Packers are also 6-4 ATS this season, going 3-2 ATS at home. The total has moved down from 48 to 47, and the Packers have gone over just three times, while the Bears have gone over four times.

The Packers have owned the Bears, going 9-1 SU and ATS in their last 10 meetings. In Green Bay, the Packers are 6-4 SU and 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games against Chicago.

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