For my Premium Parlay for NFL Week 4 and college football Week 5, I kept things relatively conservative, with a 4-team 3 and 4 round robin that will pay about 5-1 if all 4 legs hit, and roughly break even if only 3 hit.
In the NFL, most of the spreads this week are small. Dallas is a side that Troy West from AllPlaysWin.com likes, and he has had a great read on Dallas this year, and had success picking their games. But Brent from BetDSI told me that that game has a public/sharp split, with the public also on Dallas but the sharps preferring San Diego +2.5.
Al McMordie from BigAl.com gave me 2 plays that I think are both probably solid, Oakland as a home dog against the badly struggling Redskins, and much-improved KC as a modest home favorite over the mysteriously struggling Giants. And I also liked SixthSenseSports.com’s Scott Kellen’s read on the total in the Lions/Bears game, but I decided against including any of them in the parlay this week.
As always, Brent from BetDSI gave me some great insights into where the sharp action has come in this week, and that did inform my decision-making. I wound up using an NFLodds total that he told me both the sharps and the public have been backing, which also squared with my initial thoughts on that total as well.
Then I put in an NFL total recommended by Tony George from TonyGeorgeSports.com which I agreed with, and I also took a play in college from Steve from CollegeFootballWinning.com, whom I think gave us some good plays in general in our videos this week. I only used the first half line, though, on the play he recommended for the full game.
And finally, I discussed the Monday Night NFL game with Jeff Cadillac from JeffCadillac.com, and even though his record has not been good in our vids so far this year, I agreed with his assessment of line value on that game, and then on Thursday Brent told me it was a side the sharps had taken as well.
So I did a $20 4-team, 3 and 4 round robin parlay this week, $100 to win $508.51.
Watch the vid to see which sports picks made it into my Premium Parlay this week, and why I decided to leave out the ones I did!