Free Picks for Highest Week 12 Totals on NFL Odds

Matthew Jordan

Sunday, November 23, 2014 1:20 PM GMT

Sunday, Nov. 23, 2014 1:20 PM GMT

Nice 2-1 week on the three games last Sunday, hitting on the Patriots-Colts 'over' 57.5 points and the Packers-Eagles 'over' 54.5 points. Here are the highest Week 12 totals on NFL odds.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts (total 50.5 at sportsbooks)
Sometimes you have a crossover on games with the largest spreads also  having one of the largest totals and that's the case here. The Colts are the biggest NFL odds on the spread for Week 12 favorites at -14. I liked Jacksonville if that number grew but otherwise Indy. The Colts continue to lead the NFL in passing and total offense and Andrew Luck will tie the NFL record if he throws for at least 300 yards in a ninth straight game. Indianapolis is No. 3 in scoring at 31.0 points per game and has yet to score less than 20 points in a game. The Colts are averaging "only" 27.0 points in five home games. Indy scored a season-high 44 points in a Week 3 blowout in  Jacksonville. Last season in two blowout wins over the Jags, the Colts averaged 33.5 points. So you know the Colts are going to put up a few points. Will the Jags? They are last in scoring at 15.8 points per game. Jacksonville has reached 24 points once and that was its only victory. That said, the Jaguars will be as rested and healthy as possible for this time of year as they come off a bye week. That should only help rookie QB Blake Bortles. Needless to say, no weather concerns for this one.

Free NFL pick: 'Over.' It is 4-1 at sportsbooks in Jacksonville's past five road games and 4-0 in the Colts' past four after a loss.

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Baltimore Ravens vs. New Orleans Saints (50 on NFL odds)
This is the Monday night game. Baltimore plays in the Superdome for the first time since winning the Super Bowl two seasons ago against the 49ers. Curiously, the Ravens are the only team that New Orleans QB Drew Brees hasn't beaten. But the Saints have won 14 straight prime-time games at home and usually they score a ton in those. This Saints team isn't as good offensively, however. The Saints have topped 28 points just once in the past five, a 44-23 Week 8 win over Green Bay that was also a prime-time affair. New Orleans has scored at least 28 points in seven straight Monday night home games. So let's just assume the Saints reach 28. Can Baltimore get to 23 to warrant an 'over' pick at sportsbooks? Throwing out a 48-17 win in Tampa Bay, the Ravens are averaging 20.8 points on the road. Joe Flacco has alternated strong games with lousy ones over his past four. Last week he threw for only 169 yards in a win over Tennessee. No weather concerns here, either.

Free NFL pick: 'Over.' Neither defense is trustworthy. The 'over' is 5-1 in Baltimore's past six on the road. It is 5-2 in the Saints' past seven following a loss.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (48.5 on NFL betting lines)
If you aren't betting the 'over' on Green Bay games, then you simply aren't paying attention. Just one Packers game has gone under all season: a 19-7 loss at Detroit in Week 3. Aaron Rodgers has become the NFL pick at Bovada NFL MVP betting favorite as he is playing perhaps the best football of what should be a Hall of Fame career. The Packers have scored 55 and 53 points the past two weeks out of their bye. They are only the fifth team in NFL history with back-to-back 50-point games but the third in three seasons, following the 2013 Broncos and 2012 Seahawks. Rodgers has thrown for 656 yards, nine touchdowns and no picks in those games. Both numbers could have been much higher, but the team pulled him with the games out of hand. It should be noted that Green Bay has been way better offensively at home in 2014. All three losses were on the road and the Pack's high road point total was 27 in Miami. It took a last-second Rodgers TD to get there. The Packers have scored at least 30 points in six of their last eight regular-season games against Minnesota, averaging 33.7 points per game over that span. That includes a Week 5 42-10 blowout. The Vikings are not a good offensive team as rookie QB Teddy Bridgewater learns. They have been held under 20 points in five of the past six games. This will be the first outdoor game in Minneapolis between these teams since 1981. The forecast for Sunday is 42 degrees with morning fog.

Free NFL pick: 'Over.' With relatively warm temperatures for this time of year and no snow, there's really no temptation to go 'under.' The 'over' is 10-1 in Green Bay's past 11 following a win of at least 14 points. It is 8-2 in Minnesota's past 10 at home vs. teams with a winning road record.

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Check out my NFL picks for biggest point spreads in Week 12 odds

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