Free Oakland Raiders vs. Chicago Bears Week 4 NFL Picks

David Lawrence

Sunday, October 4, 2015 12:01 PM GMT

Sunday, Oct. 4, 2015 12:01 PM GMT

Oakland has played quite well in their last two games, both wins, after getting routed by Cincinnati in the opener. They could be 3-1 as they head to Chicago to face the Bears as NFL odds road faves.

 

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -2.5 -105 at Pinnacle 
The Raiders are actually favored in this game as they opened up at -2.5 and the NFL odds have moved to -3 for Oakland. On the road, you would never think that the Raiders would be favored and that speaks to the combination of how well they've been playing, and how poor the Bears have been playing. Chicago has had a bad run of luck in terms of injuries, so that has a lot to do with it, but looking at this game before the season started, they would have never expected to be underdogs at home to the Raiders. Oakland had been an underdog in a ridiculous 27 games in a row prior to this game.

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Raiders vs. Bears Spread

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Raiders vs. Bears Money Line

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Raiders vs. Bears Total

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Injuries
Health has a lot to do with how the Raiders are playing as they're pretty healthy in terms of important players. They can't afford to have many big injuries as the talent isn't really there, but if they have their best players on the field, that helps a lot.

The Bears, on the other hand, have been decimated as QB Jay Cutler (hamstring) probably won't play, which means another week of Jimmy Clausen. While the Raiders aren't Seattle, Clausen just isn't very good. WR Alshon Jeffery is questionable because of his own hamstring, while T Jermon Bushrod has a concussion. The Bears also traded DE Jared Allen to Carolina, so now that spot is open as well. It is getting more grim by the day in Chicago.

 

Trends
The Bears have covered in just two of their last eight, while Oakland has covered in three of their last five (all of which have gone over the total). Even thought they've lost nine of their last 10 on the road, the Raiders have covered in half of them, while the Bears have covered in just three of their 10 at home.

The Bears are 6-4 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Oakland since 1981, and they're 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 at home in four of those games.

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