One last game is left on the Week 4 NFL schedule, and to add some more value to our NFL Picks for tonight’s game, here are three prop wagers from bet365 that will definitely spice up the NFL Odds tonight.
This is a pick I feel almost forced to take tonight. Even though the Patriots are one of the better defenses in the NFL, especially against the tight end position this season, but Travis Kelce is one of, if not the best talent the Chiefs have catching passes, and they project to be playing from behind some tonight. Kelce has been getting on the field a lot more recently, and after only playing 30-40% of the snaps in the first two weeks, last week Kelce played a majority of the snaps.
Sure, the Chiefs still have an old and washed up, Anthony Fasano, but Kelce figures to take more of a load as the weeks go on. One of these weeks he is going to have a big game, and if the Chiefs get behind early and have to throw, he should factor into the offense a lot. Last week Kelce scored a touchdown for the first time in his career, and even though he only has 10 receptions on 15 targets through the first three games, but those numbers don’t reflect how much he should be on the field tonight. His NFL odds of getting a touchdown are growing each week, and I think he’ll score for the second straight week.
NFL Pick: Travis Kelce TD Scored (+150)
Dwayne Bowe O/U 46.5 Receiving Yards
One of the reasons the Chiefs’ passing game has been nearly non-existent this season is because of the one-game suspension, and then subsequent struggles from Dwayne Bowe. Bowe has done nothing through two games this season, even though he has seen plenty of targets. He has six catches on 12 targets this season, and in no game has he had more than 41 yards receiving. Denver and Miami’s defenses are not as good as New England’s, and tonight I expect the Pats to not allow Bowe to do anything. Hell, Bowe may not allow himself to do anything in this game, and because of that, I’m staying with the Chiefs’ player props, and I am recommending the under on Bowe tonight. The NFL Odds are not great at -115, but they are good enough for our NFL picks.
NFL Pick: UNDER 46 ½ receiving yards (-125)
Patriots O/U 2.5 Touchdowns
The Patriots’ offense has been far from what it’s been over the last five years, but the season is still young, and the Chiefs’ defense has some injury concerns. This could be a game where the Pats’ offense gets going, and even though the game is on the road, the NFL odds for the over tonight is -125, which is solid value. The Chiefs’ don’t have much of a running game right now, even if Jamaal Charles is back to healthy tonight, and that could mean more opportunity for the Patriots offense. Giving Tom Brady more chances to score the ball almost never works out for the opposing team. I’m not ready to give up on the Pats’ offense, and their defense will definitely give them enough chances to score the ball. Three touchdowns or more should be in the cards tonight, so take the over in tonight’s NFL odds.
NFL Pick: Patriots OVER 2.5 touchdowns (-125)