Falcons Could Fall Behind Early To A Revitalized Packers Team

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, December 8, 2018 11:35 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 8, 2018 11:35 PM UTC

Week 14 is here at last and there are several player prop picks worth buying a ticket for. All of these odds come from Bet365 sportsbook.

Season Props Record: 64-56

Week 14 is marked by several big games between divisional opponents and there are a ton of opportunities to make some cash on some soft prop lines from Bet365!

Tevin Coleman UNDER 42.5 Rushing Yards (-111)

We have made money two weeks in a row betting against Tevin Coleman’s rushing yards. Part of the issue has been the Falcons’ play calling and the game scripts once they fall too far behind where running is even an option. Up against a renewed Packers team with a new head coach, I think this run defense bottles up Coleman in the run game. The Packers have been serviceable against the run this season overall. Considering Coleman is averaging precisely one yard per carry over the last two weeks, I like our chances.

Tevin Coleman UNDER 68.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-120)

It may be a bit risky to fade Coleman’s total yards, especially if the Falcons are trailing the Packers in the second half. Coleman’s speed could break this play for us at any moment of this game, but hopefully the Packers’ defense is up to the challenge. Green Bay ranks 10th-best in the league at limiting running backs catching the ball this season. On the year they have allowed an average of 38.5 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs. There is not much margin for error on this play, but it has a ton of value still.

Christian McCaffrey OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards (-139)

If you’ve been riding the Christian McCaffrey Cash Train over the last few weeks, you are probably sitting pretty nicely in your prop bets. McCaffrey has been a machine for the Panthers this season and he should continue that in Week 14 against the Browns’ defense. Cleveland has allowed an average of 117 rushing yards to running backs in their last seven games.

Mark Sanchez UNDER 205.5 Passing Yards (-139)

Last week Mark Sanchez came into the game in relief of Colt McCoy and needed 20 pass attempts to get to 100 yards passing. This week against a Giants’ secondary that has been playing pretty well over the last four or five weeks, and I’m surprised the chalk isn’t higher on the under. Sanchez hasn’t had a 200-yard passing game in more than three years and I doubt that streak stops on Sunday.

Dak Prescott UNDER 237.5 Passing Yards (-120)

The Cowboys are playing really good football on defense this season and it has led to them switching up their game plan some on offense. With a running back like Zeke Elliott, the Cowboys don’t need Dak Prescott to air out the ball as much. With Dallas at home and favored by three points, the game script is there to fade Prescott’s lofty passing yards total. His pass attempts have dropped four straight weeks in a row and if it wasn’t for the need for him to drive down the field in the fourth quarter in his first game against Philly, he probably would be closer to 230 passing yards in that one too.

James White OVER 69.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-120)

The Patriots may have Tom Brady and a trio of strong pass catching options among their tight end and receivers. However, their secret sauce lies in nonother than James White this week. Then Dolphins have been horrible against running backs this season. They have given up an average of 168 total yards PER GAME just to running backs alone. White might be a great DFS play too.

Elijah McGuire OVER 44.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-120)

Elijah McGuire has been solid for the Jets on third down over the last four weeks and he is getting back Sam Darnold in Week 14, which makes this a pretty good play on the over. McGuire racked up 67 total yards in his last game playing with Darnold under center and I think the books are underestimating the effect that will have on McGuire’s total yards potential.

Julio Jones OVER 106.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

What the Green Bay coaching change probably won’t change is how bad they have been against opposing receivers this season. Julio Jones is coming off a down week where injury concerns have kept his yards total down some. However, if he is healthy, he might be closer to 120 receiving yards against the Packers when it’s all over, especially if Atlanta plays from behind.

Travis Kelce OVER 78.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Travis Kelce has been a man possessed over his last two games and if he keeps getting that kind of volume from Patrick Mahomes, there is no telling how many yards he will rack up against the Ravens. Baltimore has been beatable by tight ends this season, as they have given up an average of 65 yards per game over their last six. With Kelce coming off 25 targets and 22 catches in his last two games alone, I really like this play with the Chiefs’ run game severely downgraded.

Travis Kelce Will Score A Touchdown (-163)

While the Ravens have been really good at slowing down receivers this season, they can’t really say the same for their defense against tight ends. A tight end has scored a touchdown against the Ravens’ defense for three straight weeks and five of their last six games. Considering how bonkers Kelce has been over the last two weeks, I like this play too.

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