Free NFL Picks: Winning 1st Half Parlay For Super Bowl Sunday

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, February 4, 2016 8:23 PM UTC

Thursday, Feb. 4, 2016 8:23 PM UTC

Our NFL consultant provides us with an intriguing Super Bowl preview betting article which pertains to first half wagering. Go inside to find out the picks he’s opted for, and use them!

Hundreds Of Proposition Wagers Available At SBR's Super Bowl 50 Betting Guide

2016 Super Bowl First Half Wagering
The Super Bowl 50 game between Carolina and Denver is nearly upon us. I’m going to take a look at first half wagering on this contest. Current NFL  odds indicate that Carolina is a 3.0 point favorite in the first half, and the posted total is 22.5.


First Half Point Spread Data
The Carolina Panthers have been unequivocally been the best first half team to bet on this season. Counting the playoffs, Carolina has gone 14-4 ATS in the first half of games, and that includes 13-2 ATS in its last fifteen contests. They’re currently on a 3-0 SU&ATS run in first halves of its last three games, and outscored opponents by a cumulative margin of 79-10 during those contests. That includes outscoring its two playoff foes Seattle and Arizona by respective scores of 31-0 and 24-7 in the first half of those contests. The Panthers have trailed at the half in just two games all year. They were down 10-7 at Seattle on 10/18/2015, and also trailed at New Orleans 16-13 on 12/6/2015. Carolina was also tied at the half twice, versus New Orleans (10-10) on 9/27/2015, and also at Atlanta (7-7) on 12/27/2015.

Denver wasn’t as dominant during first halves this season in comparison to their upcoming Super Bowl opponent. The Broncos weren’t bad by any stretch, going a profitable 10-8 ATS. However, they’ve gone just 1-3 ATS in first half wagering over its past four games, and trailed at the break on two of those occasions.


Final Take and Pick
You would be hard pressed to find a better first half team in recent NFL history than Carolina was this season. The Panthers scored a whopping 181 points more than its opponents during first halves of their eighteen games. Contrarily, Denver was just a combined +38 points against their opponents during first half action. When a team (Carolina) has been this dominant for an extended period of time, I rule out the possibility of those results being a fluke. It’s been an ample enough sample size for me, and I’m going with the first half favorite on Sunday for one of my Super Bowl picks.

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NFL Pick: 1st Half Carolina -3
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle


First Half Totals Wagering
Carolina has gone over the total in the first halves of their last three, and nine of its previous eleven games. That’s in stark contrast to how their season began. They were 6-1 under the total in first half betting during its first seven games of the year. Contrary to the high scoring nature during the first half of recent Carolina games, the Panthers have allowed 7 points or less during the first two quarters in each of its last six contests. As a matter of fact, they allowed only a combined 24 points in the first half of their previous six outings.

Denver has allowed 14 points or less in the first half of its last nine games. During that stretch, they allowed an average of 8.3 points per game in the first half. Pertaining to first half betting, the Broncos are 8-2 under the total in their last ten games, and 12-6 under the total in all eighteen games played this season.


Final Take and Pick
Something has to give regarding the Super Bowl first half total. Each of these team’s recent results have been polar opposites. I’m not particularly enamored with the first half total, but I do have a slight lean toward it being a lower scoring first two quarters of action.

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NFL Pick: 1st Half Under 22.5 
Best Line Offered: at TheGreek

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