Free NFL Picks - Washington Redskins vs Detroit Lions Betting Preview

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, October 20, 2016 2:04 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 20, 2016 2:04 PM UTC

Join expert Ross Benjamin in his revealing betting preview on Sunday’s Redskins and Lions game. He sheds light on several NFL betting angles pertaining to this contest, and the article culminates with a free NFL pick.


Washington Redskins vs Detroit Lions

The Lions and Redskins will square off on Sunday at Ford Field in Detroit. The opening kickoff is slated for 1:00 PM ET. After starting the season with 2 straight losses, Washington has rebounded to win 4 straight games. Conversely, Detroit will be playing the finale of a rare 3 game home stand, and they’ve won each of the first 2.

This will be the first game between these teams since 9/22/2013. On that day, Detroit walked away with a 27-20 win, and covered as 1.0-point road favorite.


NFL Week 7 Betting Odds

At the time of this writing (10/19), NFL betting odds at BetOnline has this game installed as a pick, and the posted total is 49.5. BetOnline has an A+ grade according to SBR's ratings guide.


End of Skins Hot Streak Highly Probable

The Washington Redskins have gone a sizzling hot 4-0 SU&ATS in their last 4 contests. NFL ATS betting history indicates that teams in Washington’s precise situation in Sunday’s upcoming game, have proceeded to fail miserably.

Any away pick or underdog of 3.0 or less, coming off a 4-0 SU&ATS streak during their last 4 games, and its previous win came by 7 points or more, resulted in those away teams going 6-20 SU&ATS (23.1%) since 1989.


Masters of Close Games

The Detroit Lions 3 wins this season have come by a combined 8 points. Conversely, Detroit’s 3 defeats were by a cumulative 11 points. All 6 of their games have been decided by 7 points or less, and that includes 5 of those 6 by 4 points or fewer. The close nature of these games should pay large dividends for Detroit going forward, and make them a battle tested team.


NFL Betting Angle Heavily Favors Detroit

Detroit enters this upcoming game on Sunday with a 3-3 record. Washington is coming off a 27-20 win as a 3.0-point home underdog, and did so against NFC East division rival Philadelphia. By virtue of that victory, Washington improved to 4-2.

Any non-division team (Lions) that has at least 1 win on the season, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win in which they covered by 10.0 or more, and they possess a winning record, resulted in those teams going 39-8 ATS (83%) since 1983. They also went 38-9 (.809) straight up as well.


Final Take and Pick

Detroit finds itself in a most advantageous position. Sunday will mark their 3rd straight game played at home. Since 1984, teams playing in their 3rd straight home game, possessing a .500 or better win percentage, and they’re coming off a non-division contest, versus a non-division opponent with a win percentage of less than .777, resulted in those home teams going 42-12 (.778) straight up.

There’s too much overwhelming betting data to ignore which favors the home team, and they’ll be one of my NFL week 7 predictions.


Free NFL Pick: Detroit Lions -118Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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