Free NFL Picks for Vikings vs. Bills Week 7 Betting

Nikki Adams

Thursday, October 16, 2014 1:43 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 16, 2014 1:43 PM UTC

The Minnesota Vikings and Buffalo Bills look to get back on the winning track when they collide on Sunday. Week 7 NFL betting odds in full swing, let’s weigh in on this matchup and serve up our NFL picks.

Minnesota Vikings (2-4, 1-2 away)
The Minnesota Vikings are sat bottom of the NFC North division with a 2-4 SU mark through six games of the NFL 2014 season. They are 1-2 SU both at home and on the road, 0-2 against NFC North sides and 2-3 against Conference rivals. Given the dire straits, it comes as no surprise they enter this week 7 clash as the severe underdogs on the NFL odds board, matched at +210 to win straight up and as the 5.5-point underdogs on the spread.

Vikings are playing behind a rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who enjoyed a stellar debut against the Atlanta Falcons before succumbing to an ankle injury. Bridgewater returned to the fold last week when the Vikings hosted the Detroit Lions, but he was unable to replicate his breakout debut. The Lions deployed sensible tactics against the inexperienced starter to hold the Vikings to their worst defeat of the season 17-3.

The Vikings are riding a two-game losing streak ahead of their clash with the Buffalo Bills. It marks Bridgewater’s first road game of the season as he attempts to improve his 1-1 record as a starter. Overall, the Vikings have scored 104 points and conceded 143 points through six games for a negative 39-point differential. More concerning, they have accounted for just 13 points in their last two games all while conceding 59 points.


Buffalo Bills (3-3, 1-2 home)
The Bills are after a disastrous outing against divisional rivals New England Patriots in which they were humiliated 37-22. Par for the course it would seem given the Patriots own the Bills over the last decade of NFL betting. Despite the debacle in week 6 NFL betting, odds makers seem confident about their bounce-back-ability against the Vikings, sending the Bills into this clash as the whopping -250 favourites to win straight up and the 5.5-point favourites on the spread.

Bills got off to a solid start on the season winning two on the trot at the expense of Chicago and Miami. Reality quickly set in when they were dealt their first defeat on the season, a 22-10 by San Diego Chargers at Ralph Wilson Stadium. Houston Texans conspired to hand a second straight defeat to the Bills when they beat them23-17 in Houston. Surprisingly, the Bills snapped the losing streak with a win in Detroit, an improbable 17-14 win courtesy of a Hail Mary field goal attempt in the dying seconds of the game. Week 7 NFL betting saw the Bills succumb to Tom Brady and Company.

Overall, the Bills have scored 118 points but conceded 126 points for a minus 8 differential. Defense has been the Bills’ saving grace for the most part this season, allowing an average of 21-points per game. Offense has been accounting for just 19.7 points per game though.


NFL Betting Verdict:
In more ways than one, this is an NFL betting mismatch. Minnesota Vikings have seemingly lost the plot, playing some atrocious football as they flounder up and down the field. Last week, offense seriously struggled under Bridgewater and this is the first time NFL bettors get to see the rookie quarterback on the road.

Buffalo Bills, meanwhile, have been playing good football, save for the debacle against the Patriots last week. It’s worth noting, Brady owns the Bills, so dialled in is he to their game his impressive record over them speaks volumes. We feel it’s safe, therefore, to dismiss that affair as a one-off against a superior divisional rival.

Defensively the Bills should contain the Vikings to clinch the home win as the -250 NFL pick. That being said we’re not convinced the Bills deserve to be the 5-5-point favourites on the spread. That number seems too high in our opinion. So for your NFL picks take the Bills to win straight up, but the Vikings to cover as the 5.5-point underdogs.

NFL Picks: Bills to win straight up at -250, Vikings to cover as the +6 point underdogs at Pinnacle

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