Free NFL Picks: Three Biggest Spreads on Week 15 NFL Odds

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, December 13, 2014 4:11 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 13, 2014 4:11 PM UTC

Frustrating 1-2 mark on the three top spreads of Week 14 as I only hit on Detroit -10 against Tampa Bay. Missed on Saints -10.5 vs. Panthers, as New Orleans lost outright, and Denver -10 vs. Buffalo. Here are the Week 15 Pinnacle top NFL spread odds.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Baltimore Ravens (-14 at sportsbooks)
It's an absolute must-win game for Baltimore as the Ravens (8-5) are the first team out of the AFC playoff field as things currently stand -- yet the Ravens could still win the AFC South too. Really Baltimore should be a on a four-game winning streak, with nine wins and in first in the division, but they gagged away a late lead vs. San Diego in Week 13. However, the Ravens bounced back impressively with a 28-13 win in Miami last week that could be crucial for a wild-card tiebreaker. The big injury question here for the Ravens is whether No. 1 receiver Torrey Smith will play. He's a game-time call. The Baltimore Sun says it would be a surprise if he did because Smith didn't play too long last week with a knee problem. The Jaguars (2-11) should want to lose and get a higher draft pick. A total of nine of Jacksonville's losses have been by at least 10 points. Jags rookie Blake Bortles figures to have a long day against the Baltimore defense. The Ravens faced another rookie QB in Zach Mettenberger in Week 10 and held the Titans to seven points as Mettenberger struggled.

Free NFL Pick: At 14.5, I'd probably take the Jaguars for my NFL picks this week, but go Baltimore at this number. Jacksonville has covered just one of its past seven NFL spreads on the road. The Ravens have covered four straight vs. teams with a losing record.

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Oakland Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-10.5 on NFL odds)
This line is a bit odd, pardon the pun. The Raiders are playing hard under interim coach Tony Sparano, although it's not going to be enough to get him the full-time job. Oakland has won two of its past three games to potentially torpedo its chances at the No. 1 overall pick in the draft. The Raiders' first win was in Week 12 at home against Kansas City, 24-20. That ended the team's 16-game losing streak. It wasn't a fluke as Oakland jumped out to a 14-0 lead and never trailed. That loss could be the difference of Kansas City (7-6) missing the playoffs or making it. The Chiefs surely need to win out to have a shot now. They are on a late-season fade just like last year as Kansas City has lost three straight and gone from 20 to 16 to 14 points scored in those defeats. Star running back Jamaal Charles is banged up but expected to play.

Free NFL Pick: Oakland -- thanks to that half point. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their past five vs. teams with a winning record. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their past five at home vs. teams with a losing road record. Oakland has covered at sportsbooks in seven of its past eight trips to K.C.

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San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks (-10.5 in NFL betting)
Could anyone with a straight face honestly say they predicted that San Francisco, one of the preseason Super Bowl favorites at sportsbooks, would have been a double-digit underdog at any point in the 2014 season? Didn't think so. The line actually opened at 10, but heavy early Seattle action bumped it up. It's the first time the 49ers have been double-digit dogs under Jim Harbaugh, who clearly is coaching his final Seahawks-49ers rivalry game. That's a shame because it will take a bit of hatred out of this rivalry because he and Seattle coach Pete Carroll don't like each other from their Pac-12 days. The 49ers (7-6) may not make the playoffs even by winning out and they 100 percent won't with a loss here. San Francisco hasn't scored more than 17 points in four straight games, and QB Colin Kaepernick is regressing by the week. Seattle (9-4) can still win the NFC West. The Seahawks defense is back at No. 1 in the NFL and has totally dominated during the team's three-game winning streak, allowing a combined 20 points against playoff-caliber teams. Seattle was a 1-point dog on NFL odds when it visited San Francisco on Thanksgiving and the Seahawks ended a five-game skid at the Niners with a 19-3 rout. The 49ers were 0-2 in Seattle last year, getting blown out in the regular season and  playing very well for three quarters in the NFC title game before Kaepernick turned it over three times in the fourth in a 23-17 loss.

Free NFL Pick: Have the 49ers players turned out Harbaugh, knowing he's a goner? This game should tell us. Take the points -- I expect a very spirited effort -- even though the Niners are 0-6 ATS in the past six meetings. 

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