Free NFL Picks - Tennessee Titans vs San Diego Chargers

San Diego Chargers players in action

Tuesday, November 1, 2016 9:42 PM GMT

The Chargers look to bounce back in week 9 at the expense of the well-rested Tennessee Titans, coming off a TNF win over the Jaguars. Where are the value NFL picks in this AFC showdown?

    Tennessee Titans vs San Diego Chargers  

 

Point Spread Value

The Chargers and Titans collide in what could be a thrilling showdown at the Qualcomm Stadium with plenty angles for profit. The Chargers are desperate to get back on track following a loss to divisional rivals Denver Broncos in week 8. The loss has the Chargers slip to 3-5-0 SU and 5-3-0 ATS with a 1.6 winning margin and +3.6 differential versus the spread. What the Chargers have going for them is a positive 2-1 SU and ATS record at home that features a 10.3 winning margin and +9.3 differential versus the spread. Question is whether they’ll make it count against a Titans side that is growing in confidence. They’re coming off a big win over the Jaguars in TNF, marking their third win in the last four games. Overall, The Titans are 3-5-0 ATS with a -0.1 losing margin and +1 differential versus the spread. In their last four games, they are 3-1 SU and 2-2-0 ATS.

By all accounts, this is a right tossup for week 9 NFL picks. Neither side is wholly convincing but each has a viable shot to win or cover at the very least. As such, we’re hedging our bets on this game by shading the Titans to cover as the +4.5 road underdogs but, countering with a bet on the Chargers to win straight up (see below).
 

Free NFL Pick: Titans +4.5 (-110)Best Line Offered: at SportsInteraction

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The Survivor

The Titans can’t be taken for granted. They are coming off a big win over divisional rivals Jaguars in Thursday’s primetime slot while the Chargers had a two-game winning streak snapped at Mile High. The Titans will be keen to keep the momentum going while the Chargers will be gagging to get back on track. The Titans are in a winnable AFC South division that features middling teams from top to bottom. The Chargers are contained within the toughest division in the league, the AFC West that sports four considerable playoff threats. These two teams couldn’t be more opposite or faced with different prospects this season.

On balance, the pressure is on the Chargers more so than the Titans. The Chargers are coming off a costly 27-19 loss to the Broncos as the +6.5 road underdogs and slip to a 3-5-0 SU record in the AFC West, which puts them firmly in the basement and three wins adrift of division leaders Broncos and Raiders. The premium on the win over the Titans, therefore, couldn’t be any greater. It’s almost a must-win game for the Chargers.

 

Free NFL Pick: Chargers -275Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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Game Total

This matchup has the potential of turning into a shootout if the last few weeks were any indication. Most NFL bettors are well of aware of Philip Rivers’ gun-slinging credentials. Marcus Mariota is building a case for himself too of late. The Titans are riding five straight OVERs and in the last four games the Titans are averaging 30 points scored per game. Rivers and Company are averaging 28.1 points scored per game over the last eight and conceding 26.5 points per game. Take the OVER 47 on your NFL picks for this week 9 clash.

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 47 (-103)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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