Free NFL Picks: San Diego Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs

David Lawrence

Saturday, December 12, 2015 1:57 AM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 12, 2015 1:57 AM GMT

Kansas City is now 7-5 after beating Oakland on the road for their sixth win in a row. On Sunday they host 3-9 San Diego, whose season is toast and are now looking to play the spoiler.

Opening Odds & Line Movement
Open: -10.5 +102 at Pinnacle

The Chiefs opened up this AFC West betting line as 10.5-point favorites at home, and the NFL odds have moved down to -10 now. San Diego might get a half-point because it is a divisional game, but they looked listless in a 17-3 loss to Denver at home and nothing appears to be going right for them. That is not good news as they face the hottest team in the league not named Carolina, and the Chiefs used defense to spark a 34-20 win over the Raiders. QB Alex Smith hasn't thrown an interception in nine games, while the Chiefs picked off Derek Carr three times, running one back for a score. They're throwing the ball downfield more and WR Jeremy Maclin is making plays. Their schedule down the stretch isn't too difficult, and the Chiefs know they can't overlook the Chargers, who lost the first meeting 33-3 at home three weeks ago.

 

Chargers vs. Chiefs Spread

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Chargers vs. Chiefs Totals

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Chargers vs. Chiefs Money Line

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Injuries
The Chargers have a few new worries to concern themselves with, starting with WR Dontrelle Inman, who has a strained neck. He thinks he can play this week, but Inman is listed as day-to-day by the team. WR Stevie Johnson hurt his groin against Denver, while CB Brandon Flowers hurt his knee in the same game. T King Dunlap is probably still sidelined with a bad ankle, but G D.J. Fluker returned to practice on Wednesday after a concussion.

For the Chiefs, LB Justin Houston wasn't at practice on Wednesday because of his knee, while C Mitch Morse is back at practice following a concussion. G Jeff Allen aggravated an ankle injury on Sunday, so keep an eye on that.

 

Trends
The Chargers are 4-8 ATS in 2015, going 3-2 ATS at home, while Kansas City is 7-5 ATS and 3-2 ATS at home. The total has gone from 46.5 to 45, and the Chargers have gone under seven times. The Chiefs have gone over seven times, along with a push.

The Chiefs are 4-6 SU (three wins in a row) and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Chargers, who are 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 in Kansas City.

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