Free NFL Picks - Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

Pittsburgh Steelers Players

Wednesday, December 7, 2016 5:20 PM GMT

Steelers look to make it four in a row over a shaken Bills team. Will Big Ben and Company come through on the NFL odds? Find out in this mini-betting preview.

  

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills 

 

Point Spread Value

The Steelers are 7-5-0 ATS on the season with a 4.5 winning margin and +0.2 differential versus the spread. On the road, the Steelers are 3-3-0 ATS with a 0.8 winning margin and a -4.7 differential versus the spread. Clearly, road games have been a bit of a struggle. Nevertheless, bookies open with the Steelers favored on the road. This might seem a bit generous but it isn’t. Since snapping a four-game winning streak that began with a shock upset over the Patriots, the Bills haven’t been the same team. They are merely 5-7-0 ATS on the season with a 2.6 winning margin and +3.1 differential versus the spread. At home, they are 2-3-0 ATS with a 5.8 winning margin and +4.5 differential versus the spread but those numbers are skewed at the expense of some poor opposition (Arizona, San Francisco, and Jacksonville are all struggling this season).  

 

Free NFL Pick: Steelers -1 (-110)

Best Line Offered: at BetCris

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The Survivor

Not so long ago, the Steelers were in a spot of trouble. Four losses in a row (Miami, New England, Baltimore and Dallas) took the wind out of their sails and set them back in the AFC North. In typical stoic fashion though Mike Tomlin’s side turned things around. Reeling off three straight wins over Cleveland, Indianapolis, and NY Giants, the Steelers look to have righted the ship. A game at New Era Field isn’t a given; it could be a trap bet for week 14 NFL picks. However, seeing the Steelers must stay on pace with Baltimore to remain in contention in the division, this is a must-win game. It helps to know the Ravens take on the Patriots in MNF, which is a tough ask by any stretch of the imagination.

 

Free NFL Pick: Steelers -124

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Game Total

It’s no coincidence that on the heels of shoring up the defense the Steelers are winning. It’s worth mentioning the three-game winning streak includes not only three straight UNDERs cashing but also none of the games cracked the 40-point total. It’s also worth noting that seven of the last eight Steelers games all went UNDER. The absolute opposite is true of the Bills, who’ve seen seven of the last eight cash on the OVER and practically all of those going above 45-points. It depends on which team dictates play in Buffalo this Sunday, a blustery, freezing day with snow on the forecast.

 

Free NFL Pick: Under 47.5 (-110)

Best Line Offered: at SportsInteraction

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