Free NFL Picks - Patriots Will Look To Stay In The Top Of AFC

New England Patriots player celebrating

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, December 27, 2016 5:02 PM GMT

Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2016 5:02 PM GMT

The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins set up a week 17 clash that NFL bettors should spot. Here’s how we line up our week 17 NFL picks SU, ATS, and Total.

  

         New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins  

 

Point Spread Value

The New England Patriots are naturally through to the playoffs with a bye but a win over the Miami Dolphins will wrap up top seed in the AFC. Tom Brady and Company are riding high in the NFL with a 13-2-0 SU record and a 12-3-0 ATS record highlighted by an incredible 11.3 winning margin and +4.9 differential versus the spread. Given these NFL stats, odds makers are encouraged to roll out a rather high spread for this game and, crucially, with the visitors favored. In such a divisional rivalry, it’s a bit of a red flag. The Dolphins are through to the playoffs and a win could mean avoiding the Steelers in the wildcard round. Plus, they have home field advantage where they tend to play the Patriots hard.

 

Free NFL Pick: Dolphins +10 (-117)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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 The Survivor

The Patriots have suffered merely two losses this season, one with Tom Brady at the helm. It’s simply impossible to bet against a team of their ilk even in a heated divisional rivalry where neither team will look to rollover. Patriots all the way.

 

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -475Best Line Offered: at IslandCasino

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Game Total

The Dolphins boast an 11-4-0 OVER record going into week 17 while the Patriots boast a 5-10-0 OVER record. The pair are clearly on opposite spectrums of total betting. That makes this game a bit of a tossup as far as O/U betting goes. It really depends on which team dictates play. Given recent results, though the Patriots offense has been formidable while the Dolphins haven’t been too shabby either.

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 44.5 (-110)Best Line Offered: at BetDSI

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