As the NFL betting season keeps rolling we examine the NFL odds for the New England Patriots to win the division, conference championship and ultimately the Super Bowl.
Scorched Earth Policy
Time for a history/military lesson. A scorched earth policy is a military strategy that involves destroying anything that might be useful to the enemy including but not limited to food sources, transportation, communications and industrial resources. Stalin ordered all the villages torched as his army withdrew from the advancing German offensive which left Hitler’s military without anything to forage as they trudged deep into the frozen Russian tundra.
While the stakes are not nearly as high for Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and the offensive juggernaut that is the New England Patriots you would never know it the way they have decimated all comers since the 2015 campaign began. My colleague Jordan Sharp declared it is New England’s F*** You Tour to Roger Goodell and the rest of the league. A metaphorical middle finger as a response to the NFL creating a mountain out of a molehill for something that may or may not have even happened. A federal judge ruled that the NFL was out of bounds and threw a judicial flag on Goodell’s nonsense while the Patriots war machine fed off of the league’s relentless accusations, innuendoes and disinformation disseminated to a fandom outside of New England thirsting for anything to tear down Tom Brady and the legacy he has created in Foxboro, Massachusetts.
Thus far the Patriots have dominated Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers, tore asunder Rex Ryan’s retooled defense in Buffalo and surgically dissected the Jacksonville Jaguars to such a point that it illustrated in high-def resolution the vast differences between the haves and the have-nots in the NFL. Bill Belichick is no longer concerned about running up the score and eschewing good sportsmanship. Not that he was ever really concerned but now it appears he is bent on letting the dogs loose up until the final whistle. Until this point the NFL odds makers have been unable to offer a number that the Patriots can’t cover and after their Week 4 bye week it will be back to work for Tom Brady as they take aim at the Dallas Cowboys in Week 5.
Oh, and one more thing. If you think Goodell and the league offices are taking the high road then think again. In Week 2 Ben Roethlisberger passed for 369 yards and three touchdowns as the Steelers, playing at home, defeated a weak-kneed 49’ers crew 43-18. Tom Brady and the Patriots traveled north to take on a divisional opponent in Buffalo with a defense that has been heralded as among the best in the league. All Brady did was toss for 466 yards and three touchdowns as the Pats won on the road 40-32. Guess who won AFC Player of the Week? I’ll give you a hint – it wasn’t Tom Brady. Just another chip to add to Brady’s broad shoulders.
Patriots NFL Futures
According to Bovada adjusted NFL odds the Patriots are favored above all, except the Green Bay Packers (+350), to hoist aloft the Lombardi Trophy at the conclusion of the 2015 campaign. If you were to include the Pats in your NFL picks as of this writing you would get +400 on your money which doesn’t seem to be a bad bet at this juncture.
New England is a prohibitive (or is it prohibitive?) -500 to claim yet another AFC East title and +175 to win the AFC Conference championship. If the bad blood continues to course through Brady and Belichick’s veins then I wouldn’t bet against this team doing exactly what they want to do throughout the duration of the season. The Patriots are clearly a team on a mission and barring injuries, who can bet against them?