Free NFL Picks - New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers

New England Patriots players in action

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, November 16, 2016 2:19 PM GMT

Wednesday, Nov. 16, 2016 2:19 PM GMT

New England Patriots look to bounce back in week 11 at the expense of the pitiful San Francisco 49ers. According to the NFL odds, they should bounce back in a big way.

 

  New England Patriots vs San Francisco 49ers  

 

Point Spread Value

In spite of a 31-24 loss to the Seattle Seahawks at Gillette Stadium, the Patriots open as massive road favorites to the San Francisco 49ers. Overall, the Patriots are 7-2-0 ATS with an 8.7 winning margin and +4.4 differential versus the spread. On the road, they are a perfect 4-0-0 ATS with a 12.2 winning margin and +8.5 differential versus the spread. As away favorites, they are 3-0-0 ATS with a 15.7 winning margin and + 8.0 differential versus the spread. The Niners covered as the whopping +15 home underdogs last week in a 23-20 loss to the Cards, but they are 2-7-0 ATS with a 10.7 losing margin on average and -4.6 differential versus the spread.

 

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -12.5 (-105)Best Line Offered: at Bet365

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The Survivor

New England Patriots are still smarting from the 31-24 loss to the Seattle Seahawks. Don’t reckon they’ll fancy a second straight defeat to an NFC West opponent, even if they have the disadvantage of traveling across the country. The Niners are showing some positive signs in recent weeks but even they must share in the impossibility of the task before them. A date with the Patriots is the sort to kill burgeoning confidence.

 

Free NFL Pick: Patriots -650Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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Game Total

Sportsbooks roll out a rather high total for this game, hovering above the 50-point mark with most sports betting platforms. On one hand, Tom Brady and the Patriots offense seem to be good for most of the total seeing as they’re average 26.7 points per game this season. Looking at just the games featuring Tom Brady at centre, the Patriots offense is averaging 32 points. Still, the defense is conceding just 18.11 points per game and that’s something to consider against the Niners offense that’s showing very little consistency. Then again, the Niners are allowing 31.4 points against on average. Tom Brady should have a field day with such a defense in his way.

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 50.5 (-110)Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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