Free NFL Picks: Lay Down Money Squarely on Rams +2.5 vs. Ravens

Nikki Adams

Friday, November 20, 2015 2:14 PM GMT

Can the Ravens get into the win column when they host the Rams in week 11 NFL betting? Join us as we preview this clash and serve up choice NFL picks.

St. Louis Rams (4-5 SU, 1-3 Away)
The St. Louis Rams are sat pretty in second place in the NFC West, behind division leaders Arizona Cardinals but level on points with perennial favorites Seattle Seahawks. Still, it’s not happy families in St. Louis as they are coming off a rather lacklustre loss at home to the Chicago Bears, prompting the benching of Nick Foles.

The Foles-inspired Rams beat the Seahawks in week 1 and the high-flying Arizona Cardinals in week 4, but they also lost to the Redskins, Browns and Bears, amongst several others. That inconsistent play in the face of subpar teams has clearly tested the patience of Jeff Fischer so much that he’s willing to risk the season on an untried and unproven starter. Enter Case Keenum. [Insert dramatic shiver].

It’s a dicey decision to make midway through the season while you’re still technically in the mix. Whether it proves bold and brilliant or just brash and reckless by the end of the weekend remains to be seen. If the NFL odds were any indication, as the slight road underdogs trading at +110 or slightly higher depending on your preferred sportsbook it might look to be more of the latter.

 

Baltimore Ravens (2-7SU, 1-3 SU home)
Then again the Ravens hardly strike an intimidating pose with a season that’s bottomed behind a 2-7 SU mark, including a woeful 22-20 loss to the Jaguars at home last weekend. The Ravens were quite fancied in that game and there were plenty of NFL betting experts and fans that were confident the Ravens would finally crack the win column, seeing as they were fresh off a bye and enjoying home advantage.

Tale told none of those things made much of a difference to what is fast becoming a forgettable season. Weighed down by a tough NFL schedule and hindered by a slew of injuries on both sides of the ball, one sort of feels for Joe Flacco and John Harbaugh. They must have had high hopes for the season after their impressive run in the playoffs last year. What really bothers us about this team this season is the manner in which they are losing. They don’t seem to have any fight or ability to close out games convincingly – too many late game collapses have come back to bite them.

Last week’s loss to the Jaguars was case-and-point: giving up a stupid penalty in the last second of the game to give the Jaguars a shot at a field goal and take the win. So they did, unapologetically. And as the pigskin sailed merrily between the posts you could just see the Ravens deflating, one by one, on the side line.

 

NFL Betting Verdict
Do the Ravens have anything to play for in this game, save for pride? Probably not. So the next question we ask ourselves is whether pride is enough of a catalyst to get them fired up for this game? Doubtful. As such, we’re not so high on the Ravens as the NFL odds makers are at the moment. The NFL betting line opened on EVEN money but has moved significantly in favor of the Ravens to 2.5-points. If this NFL betting trend continues, it might go up to a field goal by game time. How the Ravens can be favored with any confidence when they can’t seem to buy a win no matter how hard they try is a mystery. They’re not that good this year.

Of course, they might just win and put a damper on this NFL betting preview. It’s possible. However, we’re putting our money down squarely on the St. Louis Rams as the 2.5-point road pups for our Free NFL pick. They might be taking a bit of a risk with a different quarterback calling the shots, but they still have plenty of weapons that could hurt the Ravens. What’s more, they do have incentive to win this game; that is, to keep hope alive for a wildcard spot.

NFL Picks: Rams +2.5 (-110) at Bet365

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