Free NFL Picks - Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons players celebrating

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, November 29, 2016 4:49 PM GMT

Tuesday, Nov. 29, 2016 4:49 PM GMT

Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons collide in a highly anticipated showdown in Sunday’s early NFL betting kick-off. Find out where we line up our SU, ATS and Total NFL picks.

  Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons

 

Point Spread Value

It’s a workman’s approach the Chiefs take to the NFL schedule, carving out an 8-3-0 SU mark and a 5-5-1 ATS mark that includes a 3.5 winning margin and +1.2 differential versus the spread. Clearly, the Chiefs aren’t blowing the opposition off the field, doing just enough on both sides of the ball to get the pivotal W. It’s not always pretty where they are concerned, not like their opponents Matt Ryan and the Falcons that can light up in no uncertain terms and boast a 7-4-0 SU and ATS mark that includes a 5.1 winning margin on average and +5.4 differential versus the spread. So how does one bet this game, take the solid, tried and tested Chiefs who are certain to give it all. Or roll the dice with Matty Ice taking apart the Chiefs? It’s a tossup, but the Chiefs defense is nothing to scoff at and could give Matt Ryan and his O-line several headaches.

 

Free NFL Pick: Chiefs +4 (-110)Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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The Survivor

The Chiefs are coming off a crucial 30-27 over the Denver Broncos on Sunday Night Football marking week 12. As a result, Chiefs stay ahead of the Broncos and just a win behind the Raiders in the AFC race for a playoff spot.  It marked a return to winning form and sees the Chiefs improve to 8-3-0 SU and 4-2-0 SU on the road. In their second road game of the week, the Chiefs take on the high-flying Falcons, who are 7-4-0 SU on the season but 3-2-0 SU at home, a mark at the Georgia Dome underscored by a 5.0 winning margin and a +2.8 differential versus the spread. Importantly, the Falcons are riding a two-game winning streak at home with wins over Packers and Cardinals. This is going to be a tough game between two viable playoff contenders this season. It really could go either way but, we’re shading the hosts ever so slightly on our week 13 NFL picks.

 

Free NFL Pick: Falcons -190Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Game Total

To look at the current NFL market is to get an immediate sense of which team is dictating the outlook in totals betting. With the total verging on almost 50 points, bookies tip their hats to the formidable Falcons offense potentially lighting up, even against such a stout defense as the Chiefs have. It’s easily understandable. Importantly, should push come to shove the Chiefs have shown an ability to put up the points too. If Ryan lights up, this could turn into quite a shootout.

 

Free NFL Pick: OVER 49 (-110)Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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