Free NFL Picks: Expert's Final Thoughts On Saturday's NFC East Clash

Kevin Stott

Saturday, December 26, 2015 1:37 PM UTC

Saturday, Dec. 26, 2015 1:37 PM UTC

Will this emotional and expectational feel for this Week 16 game ring true or can the Redskins win one on the road? Let’s examine and come up with a NFL pick or two.

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Final Score Predicition: Eagles 33  Redskins 23
NFL Picks: Eagles -147 ML & Over 47, DeMarco Murray Anytime TD Scorer +250
Best Line Offered: at Ladbrokes


Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles: The second and final Saturday game of the NFL Regular Season sees Kirk Cousins and the upstart Washington Redskins (7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS) heading to Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia Saturday night to face Sam Bradford and the Eagles (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS) in a huge NFC East showdown and a game which could potentially leave the two tied atop the NFC East with 7-8 records should the host Eagles win or he Redskins in the proverbial Driver’s Seat of they can win. Current (Christmas Day) NFL odds have the host Eagles 3-point favorites (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook) with the Total (Points) posted at 47½ (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook). In the Money Line (Winner) marketplace, the Eagles are reasonable -147 favorites with the visiting Redskins priced at +133 on the takeback. The Philadelphia Eagles Total Team Points has been set at 24½ -120 (at Bet365) while the Washington Redskins Total Team Points is at 22½ -120 (bet365) for this game. The Advanced Line, out last week (Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook), opened the Eagles as 3½-point favorites while the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook made the Eagles 7-point favorites here in their renowned NFL Games of the Year, so you can see how much Washington—who are the projected 4th seed in the NFC heading in—has surprised everyone involved including maybe even themselves.


Key Offensive Players and Why This Particular Game Being in Philly Matters So Much 
The play of Eagles QB Sam Bradford (3,025 passing yards, 16 TDs) will be huge for the hosts on Saturday night as well as getting nice, balanced Offensive production from the Skill Position players like WR Jordan Matthews (72 receptions, 839 yards, 5 TDs), WR Jeff Maehl, WR Riley Cooper, WR Nelson Agholor, RB DeMarco Murray (176 rushes, 608 yards, 4 TDs), RB Darren Sproles, TE Zach Ertz (53 receptions, 579 yards, 2 TDs) and especially TE Brent Celek (24 receptions, 372 yards, 3 TDs). And one big key for Eagles (and their potential backers) is the availability of Redskins speedy WR DeSean Jackson (26 receptions, 488 yards, 4 TDs)—who is listed as Questionable for this game and who only had a “limited” workout in Washington’s last practice—as well as trying to stifle fellow WR Pierre Garçon (62 receptions, 648 yards, 4 TDs). Expect Jackson to go. And if Philadelphia’s suspect Defense can stop Washington’s Rushing attack and have their own Offense get one going with Murray (Anytime TD Scorer +250, Ladbrokes), firecracker Sproles and maybe Ryan Matthews (548 yards, 5 TDs), then expect the hosts to nervously put up around 30 points or more in fear of their season ending this weekend and being embarrassed (and swept) by the (perceived lowly) Redskins. Having this game in Philadelphia in Week 16 is a nightmare scenario for Washington and expect all the little things—the Bounces, the Replays, the Referee’s calls, the Turnovers, the Luck—to maybe all go the Eagles way.


Recent Series History, Projected Pace, Best Betting Approaches
When these two met earlier this season in Week 5 at FedExField in Landover, Washington won outright, 23-20 as 3-point underdogs, so a little bit of Revenge may be served up here in the Keystone State on Saturday night but it seems that Pride and the immediate Ghost of Games Past may also weigh heavily in the minds of the host Eagles who would probably rather move the franchise to Hershey than to lose to the Redskins in this spot. Expect a fast-paced and aggressive effort on both sides of the football from Philadelphia (3-4 Home) with veteran Darren Sproles (75 rushes, 284 yards, 3.8 ypc, 3 TDs) coming through with the big play of the big yardage when the hoists need it most. Hard-workers are used to getting the job done when it matters most and the 32-year-old Kansas State product Sproles is worth his weight in Platinum on days like this and Eagles Head Coach Chip Kelly knows it. And maybe the biggest thing here is how bad Washington (1-5 SU) has been on the Road, and like the Eagles, this team is very lucky to live in the NFC East—this season’s version of last season's NFC South. And although the Science and Numbers say this could be close and that Washington (22.6PF-23.7 PA) looks a little better screams that Philadelphia (22.7 PF-25.9 PA)—who were pummeled by the Cardinals on Sunday Night Football in Week 15—gets that Revenge here and puts a nice, little dent in the Redskins (2-6 ATS L8 on Road) fake-dream season. Take Eagles moneyline & Over as the sharp NFL Picks.

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