Yeah, the NFL regular season comes to an end next week, so for one last time this season, here are your Early Odds for Week 17 from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook along with some series trends and some picks.
Sunday, December 28, 2014
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers -7½ (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
What better way to start off the final week of the NFL regular season than with this NFC North battle from Lambeau Field between the host Green Bay Packers (10-4 SU, 7-6-1 ATS, at Tampa Bay Sunday) and QB Aaron Rodgers (33-17-2 ATS Home) and the Detroit Lions (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS, at Chicago Sunday), which could be for all the divisional marbles and maybe then some. The Packers are 5-1-1 ATS at Home this season, their only point spread setback coming in their last game here at Lambeau against the Falcons. Green Bay is 5-2 ATS in its L7 against the Lions and the Packers are 4-1 ATS L5 here in Cheeseville where it snows cheese curds and Green Bay will be eager to snatch the NFC North title and avenge their 19-7 loss as 1-point Underdogs to the Lions in Detroit in Week 3. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year—released in the summer—opened the Packers up as 3½-point Favorites for this game. Pick: Packers -7½
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans -7 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
NRG Stadium in Houston is the site of this AFC South game between the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-12 SU, 4-9-1 ATS, vs. Titans Thursday Night Football) and the host Houston Texans (7-7 SU, 8-5-1 ATS, vs. Ravens Sunday) which may still mean something to the Texans depending on what transpires this week in Week 16. When these two teams met in Week 14 in Jacksonville, the Texans defeated the Jaguars, 27-13 and easily covered the point spread as 6½-point Favorites. The Jaguars are 3-1 ATS L4 vs. the Texans and 3-1-1 ATS the L5 here in Houston.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
Projected fourth- and fifth-seeds in the AFC heading into Week 16, host Pittsburgh Steelers (9-5 SU, 7-7 ATS, vs. Chiefs Sunday) and the Cincinnati Bengals (9-4-1 SU, 7-6-1 ATS, vs. Broncos Monday Night Football) lock horns for this potential AFC North decider from Heinz Field in Pittsburgh. The Steelers defeated the Bengals 42-21 in Week 14 as 3-point Underdogs in Cincinnati and Pittsburgh is an impressive 7-2 ATS over the the L9 against the Bengals and the Steelers are 5-2 ATS in the L7 here in The Steel City. The Steelers opened up as 1-point Favorites for this in the SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year. Pick: Steelers -3
Indianapolis Colts -6½ at Tennessee Titans (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a p.m. PT):
The Tennessee Titans (2-12 SU, 3-10-1 ATS, at Jaguars Thursday Night Football) welcome the AFC South-leading Indianapolis Colts (10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS, at Cowboys Sunday) to LP Field in Nashville for this divisional game important to the Colts in terms of AFC playoff positioning. Indianapolis and QB Andrew Luck (16-11-1 ATS vs. AFC South) blasted the Titans in Naptown, 41-17 in Week 4 as 7½-point Favorites and the Colts are an unblemished 5-0-1 ATS the L6 against the Titans and Indianapolis is a profitable 4-0-1 ATS against the AFC South this season. Pick: Colts -6½
Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens -7 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The Baltimore Ravens (9-5 SU, 7-6-1 ATS, at Texans Sunday) welcome the Cleveland Browns (7-7 SU, 7-5-2 ATS, at Panthers Sunday) to M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore for an AFC North game which may potentially mean something to the visitors and will definitely be of importance to the hosts. In Week 3 in Cleveland, Baltimore won 23-21 as 2-point Favorites, pushing the point spread. The Browns are 3-1 ATS L4 vs. the Ravens here in Crab City.
Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots -6½ (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The New England Patriots (11-3 SU, 8-6 ATS, at Jets Sunday) and QB Tom Brady (68-46-4 ATS Home) play host to the Buffalo Bills (8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS, at Raiders Sunday) at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro for this AFC East game which may matter to the Patriots in terms of securing the precious homefield advantage in the AFC. In Week 6, New England won 37-22 in Buffalo as 1-point Favorites. The Patriots are 5-2 ATS at Home this season, covering their L4 games here in Foxboro.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins -7 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens is the site of this AFC East game between the New York Jets (3-11 SU, 4-9-1, vs. Patriots Sunday) and the host Miami Dolphins (7-7 SU, 7-7 ATS, vs. Vikings Sunday) in a contest which still may have relevance to Miami who were the projected 11th-seed in the AFC heading into Week 16. When these two teams met in East Rutherford in Week 14, the Dolphins won 16-13 but failed to cover as 6½-point Favorites. The Jets are a surprising 8-2 ATS L10 here st Sun Life against the Fish.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons Off (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
Likely off the betting board after Panthers QB Cam Newton was involved in a car accident last week, this NFC South game from the Georgia Dome in Atlanta between the Carolina Panthers (5-8-1 SU, 7-7 ATS, vs. Browns Sunday) and the host Atlanta Falcons (5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS, at Saints Sunday) could still oddly have significance for both looking in from two weeks out. In Week 11 in Charlotte, the Falcons won 19-17 but failed to cover as 2½-Point Favorites. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the Falcons but Carolina is 1-5 ATS L6 Away at Atlanta. These two were the projected 8th (Panthers) and 9th (Falcons) seeds in the NFC heading into Week 16 play. The SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year had this one lined with the Falcons as 2½-point Favorites.
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings -6½ (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The Minnesota Vikings (6-8 SU, 9-5 ATS, at Dolphins Sunday) open the doors of TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis to the wilted Chicago Bears (5-9 SU, 5-9 ATS, vs. Lions Sunday) for an NFC North meeting between two teams already out of the postseason picture in a game with absolutely no meaning. In Week 11, Da Bears beat Da Vikes, 21-13 in the Windy City and covered the point spread as 2½-point Favorites but the Vikings are 3-1 ATS in the L4 in this series. The SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year lined this game as the Bears as 2½-point Favorites, so the Bears crappiness is revealed in the disparity between the line now and the one from 6 months ago. Expect the deck to be reshuffled in Chitown and the Bears to get less attention in future NFL Games of the Year odds at the Westgate SuperBook.
San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs -3½ (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The San Diego Chargers (8-6 SU, 6-8 ATS, at 49ers Saturday) head to Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City to face the Chiefs (8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS, at Steelers Sunday) in this AFC West battle which may still matter to these two, the 7th (Chiefs) and 8th (Chargers) projected AFC seeds heading into Week 16. In Week 7, the Chiefs beat the Bolts, 23-20 in San Diego as 3-point Underdogs. Kansas City is 3-2 ATS L5 vs. the Chargers.
Philadelphia Eagles -3 Even at New York Giants (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
This NFC East game sees the Philadelphia Eagles (9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS, at Redskins Saturday) head to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey to dance with the New York Giants (5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS, at Rams Redskins Sunday) in a game that will only matter to the Eagles. When these two met in the City of Brotherly Love in Week 12, Philadelphia won 31-28 but failed to cover as 4-point Favorites. The SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year had the Eagles as 2½-point Road Favorites, so, very little difference. Philadelphia is 8-4 ATS L12 vs. the G-Men and the Eagles are 6-1 ATS L7 Away at New York NFC. Vaya con Eagles. Pick: Eagles -3
Dallas Cowboys -8 at Washington Redskins (FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET/1:30 p.m. PT):
FedEx Field in Landover, Maryland is the site of this NFC East game between the host Washington Redskins (3-11 SU, 4-10 ATS, vs. Eagles Saturday) and Tony Romo and the Dallas Cowboys (10-4 SU, 8-6 ATS, vs. Colts Sunday)—an encounter which will only have meaning to the visitors. When these two met in Week 7 in Big D, the Redskins upset the Cowboys, 20-17 as 9-point Underdogs. Washington is a freakish 8-1 ATS L9 vs. Dallas and 4-0 ATS the L4 here at Home at FedEx but has major problems at QB.
New Orleans Saints -4½ at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
Raymond James Stadium in Tampa is the site of this NFC South tilt in which the host Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-12 SU, 6-8 ATS, vs. Packers Sunday) can possibly throw some salt into the game of the visiting New Orleans Saints (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS, vs. Falcons Sunday), although Week 17’s meeting between the Falcons and Saints could ice the division for New Orleans with a win. When these two played in Week 5 in The Big Easy, the Saints won 37-31 but failed to cover as 11-point Favorites. The Saints are 4-2 ATS in their L6 vs. the Bucs. Note: New Orleans’ Overs are 10-4 this season.
St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks -10 (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT):
The St. Louis Rams (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS, vs Giants Sunday) head to the Pacific Northwest and CenturyLink Field in Seattle to face the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks (10-4 SU, 7-6-1 ATS, at Cardinals Sunday Night Football) in an NFC West game which could end up being like gold for the hosts should everything go right. And Pete Carroll (51-32-2 ATS) and his Seahawks will have revenge on their mind after losing 28-26 to these pesky Rams in Week 7 in the Gateway City as 6½-point Favorites. The Seahawks are just 1-4 ATS in their L5 against St. Louis but Seattle is a powerful 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the Rams here in Starbucksville. Pick: Seahawks -10
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers -4 (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT):
New Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara is the site of this strange game between the host San Francisco 49ers (7-7 SU, 6-8 ATS, vs. Chargers Saturday)—already eliminated from the playoffs—and the, at-this-particular-moment-in-Time projected #1 seed in the NFC, the Arizona Cardinals (11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS, vs. Seahawks Sunday Night Football), who may be led by third-string QB Ryan Lindley. So, 49ers out, Cardinals in and Ryan Lindley QB of possible top seed in NFC in Week 17. Okay. This is a weird dream. Where are my pants? The Cardinals beat the 49ers, 23-14 as 3-point Underdogs in Week 3 in Glendale, but who knows what happens in Week 16 and how knows how motivated these two will be, although Arizona could still be playing for homefield advantage in the NFC. San Francisco is 9-3 ATS in our NFL odds L12 vs. the Cardinals and the Niners are 4-1 ATS L5 at Home against Arizona.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos -14½ (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT)
The Oakland Raiders (2-11 SU, 7-6 ATS, at Chiefs Sunday) head to Sports Authority Field in The Mile High city next Sunday afternoon to face Peyton Manning (71-66-2 ATS Home) and the defending AFC champion Denver Broncos (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, at Chargers Sunday) in this AFC West meeting—and last game on the NFL regular season betting board—in which the divisional champs can possibly still clinch homefield advantage for the playoffs, depending on what New England, also 11-3, does in its last 2 games. In Week 10, Denver romped 41-17 in Oakland as 12½-point Favorites and the Broncos are 5-0-1 ATS L6 against the Raiders but Denver is just 1-6-1 ATS L8 vs. Oakland here in Denver. Don’t ask. Trends are Geminis like Prince.
NFL Picks: Packers -7½, Steelers -3, Colts -6½, Eagles -3, Seahawks -10