Free NFL Picks: Early Look at the Week 16 Odds on Offer In Vegas

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, December 10, 2014 9:05 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 10, 2014 9:05 PM UTC

Ho, ho hope you’ve been picking some winners lately. Here for your perusal are NFL Early Lines for Week 16 from the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as well as starting times, TV information, trends and some picks.

Thursday, December 18, 2014
Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars -2 (NFL Network, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT):

The Tennessee Titans (2-11 SU, 3-9-1 ATS, vs. Jets Sunday) head to EverBank Field in Jacksonville to play the host Jaguars (2-11 SU, 3-9-1 ATS, at Ravens Sunday) in an AFC South Thursday Night Football game which might get low ratings and little attention from sports bettors. It’s hard to get wound up about teams with combined 4-22 SU and 6-18-2 ATS records and the automatic primetime Over trend bet will be hard to make in this Dull Bowl. On Thursday nights,  Jacksonville is 2-5 SU and 2-5 ATS on Thursday nights while Tennessee is 2-5 SU and 4-3 ATS. The Jaguars are an impressive 6-1-1 ATS L8  vs. the Titans and Jacksonville is 3-1-1 ATS L5 here at Home vs. Tennessee and when these two met in Week 6 in Nashville, Tennessee won 16-14 but failed to cover the point spread as 4-point Favorites and the game went way Under the 42½ Total.


Saturday, December 20, 2014
Philadelphia Eagles -8½ vs. Washington Redskins (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET/1:30 p.m. PT):

Another probable horrible game means the first three games on the NFL Week 16 schedule (Titans-Jaguars, this, Chargers-49ers) absolutely stink, stank, stunk. Why, I wouldn’t touch any of these three so-called games with a 39½-foot pole. Here in this NFC East Saturday affair, the Philadelphia Eagles (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, vs. Cowboys Sunday Night Football) head to Landover, Maryland and FedEx Field to try to get the win against the Washington Redskins (3-10 SU, 4-9 ATS, at Giants Sunday). When these two met in Week 3 in Philadelphia, the Eagles won 37-34 but just failed to cover the 4-point spread as Favorites. And Philadelphia being only a 4-point Favorite at Home to this Redskins team is my pre-holiday giggle for you. You’re welcome. Need another? The SuperBook had a 2014 NFL Games of the Year line for this turd: Eagles -6. Philadelphia is 5-3 ATS L8 against the Redskins and the Eagles are 4-1 ATS the L5 Away against Washington at FedEx and the visitors will really need the win here to take any unnecessary pressure off Week 17’s regular season finale against the Giants.


San Diego Chargers vs. San Francisco 49ers -2½ -120 (CBS, 8:25 p.m. ET/5:25 p.m. PT):
The last day of fall sees this interconference California tussle at the new Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara between the host San Francisco 49ers (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS, at Seahawks Sunday) and the San Diego Chargers (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS, vs. Broncos Sunday) in a game which will mean nothing to the NFC side and everything to the AFC one. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year—released in the summer—opened the 49ers as 4½-point Favorites for this game and little did anyone who bet on San Francisco (4-9 Unders) in that niche market know that they would be backing a team dead on emotion and out of the playoffs for the game. These two don’t play each other much—the Chargers beat the 49ers in San Diego, 34-7 back in 2010 as 10-point Favorites—but the Chargers do hold the trend edge in this series with San Diego 3-0 ATS L3 vs. San Francisco and the Chargers 3-1 ATS L4 on the Road against the 49ers Road in the City by the Bay. This could turn out to be a weird game and the Under is worth some light contemplation after that second helping of figgy pudding.


Sunday, December 21, 2014
Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins -7 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):

It will be the first day of Winter in the Northern Hemisphere next Sunday so what better way to hide from Old Man Winter than by quickly heading to the United States warmest and southernmost city, Miami? Here at Sun Life Stadium, the Minnesota Vikings (6-7 SU, 8-5 ATS, at Lions Sunday) visit the upstart Miami Dolphins (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS, at Patriots Sunday) in an interconference affair which will be more important for the hosts. These two teams last met in 2010 when the Dolphins won outright in Minneapolis, 14-10 as 5½-point Underdogs on the NFL odds board. Miami is 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the Vikings and the Dolphins are 3-0 ATS L3 against Minnesota at Home in Miami.

NFL Pick: Dolphins -7


Green Bay Packers -10½ vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
Raymond James Stadium in Tampa is the site of this interdivisional NFC tilt between two old NFC Central rivals with pretty much the same reputations now that they had Back in the Day. The Green Bay Packers (10-3 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, at Bills Sunday) and QB Aaron Rodgers (29-26 ATS Away) head south to the Sunshine State in what could be a big win for them against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-11 SU, 5-8 ATS, at Panthers Sunday). But the Cheeseheads are 2-4 ATS on the Road this season and Green Bay is 0-3 ATS L3 against the Bucs and the Packers are 1-4 ATS the L4 here in Tampa.


Detroit Lions -4½ vs. Chicago Bears (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The Detroit Lions (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, vs. Vikings Sunday) head to the Windy City to play the host Chicago Bears (5-8 SU, 5-8 ATS, vs. Saints, Monday Night Football) in this NFC North game that may still mean something to Chicago and will definitely mean something to Detroit. In Week 13, when these two met in Detroit on Thanksgiving—for some forearms and bruises and not turkey and dressing—the Lions won and covered the spread as 7½-point Favorites, 34-17. Detroit is an impressive 8-1 ATS L9 vs. the Bears and the Lions are 3-1 ATS L4 here on the Road in Chicago where the pizza is as thick as pecan pie. Sold.

NFL Pick: Lions -4½


Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints -7 (FOX, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The New Orleans Saints (5-8 SU, 5-8 ATS, at Bears Monday Night Football) and QB Drew Brees host the Atlanta Falcons (5-8 SU, 6-7 ATS, vs. Steelers Sunday) in an absolutely huge game in the NFC South and one which may well determine who wins the division. In Week 1 in Atlanta, New Orleans lost 37-34 as 3-Point Favorites. The Saints are 3-0 ATS L3 vs. the Falcons here at Home and this should be a pretty high-scoring back-and-forth between Brees and Atlanta QB Matt Ryan.


New England Patriots -10 vs. New York Jets (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The New England Patriots (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS, vs. Dolphins Sunday) and QB Tom Brady head to MetLife Stadium and East Rutherford, NJ to play the New York Jets (2-11 SU, 3-9-1, at Titans Sunday) in this AFC East non-showdown. The Jets played the Patriots tough in Week 7, losing 27-25 in Foxboro as 9½-point Underdogs and AFC New York is 4-1 ATS in the L5 against The Fighting Belichicks, but betting on the Jets is like cleaning your gutters or getting a wheatgrass hate it the whole time you’re doing it.


Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers -3 -120 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
Heinz Field in The Steel City is the site of this AFC interdivisional meeting between the host Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS, at Falcons Sunday) and the Kansas City Chiefs (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS, vs. Raiders Sunday). The Steelers are 3-0 ATS L3 vs. Kansas City but Pittsburgh is just 1-3 ATS L4 against the Chiefs here at Home in Pittsburgh. When making your NFL picks for this week, keep in tn mind that This game will be massive for both teams with a loss being potentially deadly for whomever ends up getting it.


Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers Off (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
This could be a crucial game for both teams at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte as the Cleveland Browns (7-6 SU, 7-4-2 ATS, vs. Bengals Sunday) head south to North Carolina to face the host Carolina Panthers (4-8-1 SU, 7-6 ATS, vs. Buccaneers Sunday) in an interconference matchup. The Panthers are 3-0-1 L4 ATS vs. the Browns and expect Carolina to really be up for this game for a number of reasons and play one of its best games of the season although the line is off the board after QB Cam Newton was involved in a car accident on Tuesday. Cleveland has said it will give rookie QB Johnny Manziel the start in Week 15 vs. Cincinnati so this Week 16 game could end up being more entertaining than it first looks.


Baltimore Ravens vs. Houston Texans -1 (CBS, 1 p.m. ET/10 a.m. PT):
The Baltimore Ravens (8-5 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, vs. Jaguars Sunday) may end up needing this Week 16 game at NRG Stadium in Houston a little bit more than the host Houston Texans (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS, at Colts Sunday) will but a loss at Indianapolis in Week 15 could do the Texans heads in. The Ravens are 3-1 ATS L4 Away at Houston and Baltimore bounced the Texans last season in Crab Ciy, 30-9, as slight 1½-point Home Favorites. This could be a very entertaining game to watch.


New York Giants vs.St. Louis Rams -5½ (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET/1:05 p.m. PT):
The St. Louis Rams (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS, vs. Cardinals Thursday Night Football) welcome the New York Giants (4-9 SU, 5-8 ATS, vs. Redskins Sunday) to the Edward Jones Dome in the Gateway City for this NFC interdivisional matchup between two teams going nowhere. The Giants are an amazing 6-0 ATS L6 against the Rams and 3-0 ATS the L3 here in St. Louis. But it will be hard to gauge who will be playing that hard in this potential drooler.


Buffalo Bills -4½ vs. Oakland Raiders (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET/1:25 p.m. PT):
The Oakland Raiders (2-11 SU, 7-6 ATS, at Chiefs Sunday) open the doors of the Coliseum for the Buffalo Bills (7-6 SU, 7-6 ATS, vs. Packers Sunday) for what actually may be an intriguing interdivisional AFC game, although one with no real significance in the NFL playoff race. The last time these two teams played back in 2011, the Bills won at Home, 38-35 and failed to cover the spread (barely) as 3½-point Favorites. The Raiders are 3-0 ATS L3 vs. the Bills and are definitely worth a look here.

NFL Pick: Raiders +4½


Indianapolis Colts vs. Dallas Cowboys PK (CBS, 4:25 p.m./1:25 p.m. PT):
The Indianapolis Colts (9-4 SU, 9-4 ATS, vs. Texans Sunday) and QB Andrew Luck (14-6-1 ATS vs. Non-Division) head to AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas—aka The House That Jerry Built—to dance with the Dallas Cowboys (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, at Eagles Sunday Night Football) and QB Tony Romo in this interconference game that should be some fun. These two don’t play enough to have a recent, relevant body of trends, but in 2010 in the last meeting, Dallas defeated Indianapolis in Naptown, 38-35 as 6-point Underdogs. Five golden rings.


Seattle Seahawks -6½ vs. Arizona Cardinals (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT):
University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Arizona is the site of this Sunday Night Football and NFC West showdown between the Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS, vs. 49ers Sunday) and the host Arizona Cardinals (10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS, at Rams Thursday Night Football), a game which could end up determining who wins this tough division. In Week 12 in Seattle, the Seahawks and QB Russell Wilson exacted some revenge from a Home loss last season and beat Arizona, 19-3 as 7½-point Favorites. The Cardinals are 6-2 ATS L8 vs. the Seahawks here at Home in the Valley of the Sun. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened this game at Seahawks -2½ in its famous 2014 NFL Games of the Year odds.

NFL Pick: Seahawks -6½


Monday, December 22, 2014
Denver Broncos -4 vs. Cincinnati Bengals (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT):

Peyton Manning (73-57-5 ATS Away) and the defending AFC champion Denver Broncos (10-3 SU, 6-7 ATS, at Chargers Sunday) head east to Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati to face the Bengals (8-4-1 SU, 6-6-1 ATS, at Browns Sunday) in a Monday Night Football date which should be important to the hosts for their division (AFC North) race and possibly significant to the visitors in terms of AFC Home playoff advantage should the Patriots slip up. The SuperBook’s 2014 NFL Games of the Year had this game lined at Broncos -1½ this summer. Denver won at Cincinnati in 2012, 31-23, and covered the point spread as 5-point Favorites in the last encounter between these two Lovers of the Color Orange. Trend-wise, the Broncos are 3-1 ATS L4 vs. the Bengals and 3-1 ATS Away the L4 in Cincinnati. And, as always, don’t forget how high-scoring primetime TV games have been so far during this wacky NFL season.

NFL Pick: Broncos -4

NFL Picks: Dolphins -7, Lions -4½, Raiders +4½, Seahawks -6½, Broncos -4

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