Free NFL Picks - Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans

Nikki Adams

Wednesday, December 21, 2016 3:27 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 21, 2016 3:27 PM UTC

Although the Texans are in the playoff hunt, bookies aren’t cornering the clash with the down and out Cincinnati Bengals in their camp. Do they have it right on the NFL odds board?

 Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans


Point Spread Value

The Houston Texans kept their playoff hopes alive with a 21-20 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars at NRG Stadium in week 15. It was too close for comfort as the Texans failed to cover as the -3.5 home chalk but the main soundbite was the benching of Brock Osweiler. Ouch. Tom Savage is the answer, is he? Not surprisingly, markets react for this week’s clash with the Cincinnati Bengals, installing the Texans as the nominal home chalk.  That said, the Texans are 6-1-0 SU at home which includes a 4-2-1 ATS mark with a 3.7 winning margin and +1.8 differential versus the spread. The Bengals, meanwhile, have naught to play for. They are 5-8-1 SU on the season and just 3-5-0 SU on the road, which includes a 2-5-0 ATS mark with a -4.6 losing margin and -3.5 differential versus the spread. Consider the Bengals are down and out and have only managed to beat the Browns twice on the road, it’s really hard to shade the Bengals on week 16 NFL picks particularly with such a tight betting line on offer.


Free NFL Pick: Texans -1 (-105)Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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 The Survivor

The fact that the Bengals have only managed to beat the Browns on their travels in the NFL speaks volumes. It’s quite shocking really considering their previous campaign, but it’s the reality of what this installment is about in 2016. The Texans are faced with a must-win game at home and for the most part (aside from one home loss) they’ve been money at the betting window. It remains to be seen whether Tom Savage will deal with the pressure.


Free NFL Pick: Texans -115Best Line Offered: at Jazz

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Game Total

With Tom Savage confirmed as the starter all the stats accumulated by the Texans, this season goes out of the window, particularly when it comes to their offensive contribution. Totals are rather low for this game, which is a nod to Houston’s 6-8-0 OVER record this season. However, this has the potential to go against the grain for week 16 NFL picks.


Free NFL Pick: Over 41 (-110)Best Line Offered: at SportsInteraction

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