Swinger has put all those bad beats behind him as his NFL Pick of the Year cashed last week as have five of his last six NFL picks. The Week 17 NFL odds offer even more tantalizing choices as Swinger looks poised to enter the postseason on a heater.
Swinger's 2014 NFL Record (24-23, -12.95 units)
Dontcha just love when a plan comes together? I know I do as my faith (as well as five maximum play units) in Big Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers was rewarded when they covered the number and defeated the Chiefs last week. We also clicked for four units with the underdog Minnesota Vikings as they hung tough with the Miami Dolphins. Our lone loss of the day came in the form of the New Orleans Saints who could not withstand the withering attack of Matty Ice and the Falcons. Fortunately, that was our lowest rated play but still cost us 3.3 units.
Overall, it was a 2-1 Sunday but we carved 5.7 units off of our debt. It’s a bit absurd of course for me to be crowing about anything when looking at a season that has wrought almost a 13 unit deficit. Nevertheless we’re headed in the right direction and hopefully we will end this mercurial 2014 NFL regular season on a high note and in the black. Let’s do this boys and girls.
Chargers (9-6 SU, 7-8 ATS) vs. Chiefs (8-7 SU, 9-6 ATS)
I was relieved, to say the least, that the Chiefs succumbed to the Steelers last week as Pittsburgh was my highly touted (no pun intended) NFL Pick of the Year. However, they did not go easy into that good night and I was impressed with the way KC battled in their 20-12 loss. The Steelers boasted a run defense that I rightfully believed would suffocate the Chiefs and that was in essence the reason why I felt Pittsburgh was the right side.
However their opponent this week, the San Diego Chargers, own the 26th ranked run defense and poses no such threat. In addition the Chiefs are back home, and playing at Arrowhead is a daunting task for any visiting team. While I realize the Bolts will be battling for their playoff existence so too will the Chiefs. In addition, KC boasts the 2nd ranked pass defense which should be enough to stifle a Chargers’ team that could very well have shot their proverbial load in ‘Frisco last week with a miraculous second half that ultimately led to their overtime victory.
NFL Pick: Kansas City -140 for 4 units at Pinnacle.com.
Browns (7-8 SU, 8-6-1 ATS) vs. Ravens (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS)
The NFL odds on this game factor in the “must-win” situation in which the Ravens find themselves. That emotional element, though very real, is overrated. This is a division game between two arch rivals and the Ravens’ key to success will be running the ball against a porous Cleveland run stop defense.
However, the Brownies boast the 7th ranked passing defense and that should make this game a grindy and predictable contest with the Ravens ultimately winning the game but failing to cover the all-important number. It should also be noted that Cleveland has covered in their last two contests against the Ravens and this one should be no different.
NFL Pick: Browns +10 (-130) for 3 units at 5Dimes.com.
Cardinals (11-4 SU, 10-5 ATS) vs. 49’ers (7-8 SU, 6-9 ATS) *Side & Total*
The Cardinals strike me as the least impressive 11-4 team I have seen in a while. Sure their defense is stout but their offense is nothing short of inept. They have no quarterback, no rushing attack and believe it or not their passing defense is ranked 30th! While you can take shots all you want at the spectacularly disappointing 49’ers season and the lame duck status that appears to be the case of head coach Jim Harbaugh, this team has the tools to put the boots to Arizona.
The Niners defense ranks 5th against the pass and 7th against the run. How the hell is Arizona supposed to score? At least we know Kaepernick can boot leg and his team’s long scoring drought was snapped last week when they put up 35 against the Chargers. This is a perfect opportunity for Coach Jim to leave on a high note.
NFL Pick: 49’ers -5 ½ (-120) for 5 units at Pinnacle.com.
NFL Pick: Under 37 (-115) for 4 units at Pinnacle.com.
The Woodman’s Corner (7-9 ATS, - 2.8 units)
The Woodman flamed hard with his Arizona Cardinals as their offense got stuck in the Seattle mud. But this week he is closing the 2014 season in much the way he has lived it…with another underdog. Woodman’s Week 17 NFL pick is going back to the same poisoned well as last week and against the wishes of his lord, savior and master. Arizona +6 is his NFL pick of the week.
Merry Christmas and happy holidays to one and all.