Free NFL Picks: Biggest Spreads on Week 17 NFL Odds

Matthew Jordan

Saturday, December 27, 2014 4:42 PM GMT

A blah 1-2 mark on the three top NFL spreads of Week 16 as I hit on the NY Jets +10.5  nearly beating New England but missed Tampa Bay +11.5 vs. Green Bay and Detroit -8 in Chicago. Here are the Week 17 Pinnacle biggest NFL spread odds.

Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos (-14 at sportsbooks)
The Broncos made this game matter to them by losing in the slop Monday night in Cincinnati when Peyton Manning threw four interceptions. A win there would have clinched at worst the No. 2 seed and forced New England to care for its Week 17 game vs. Buffalo. Now the Pats don't have to, while Denver needs a win to earn the No. 2. A loss and Bengals win Sunday night in Pittsburgh would give it to Cincinnati. Manning and star tight end Julius Thomas clearly need the week off to rest injuries so I expect maximum effort here. Not that Manning probably cares, but he can repeat as the NFL touchdown champion as well. He leads the league with 39 TD passes, one ahead of Andrew Luck. Bovada lists Manning and Luck as even-money co-favorites to win the title on its Week 17 NFL props. Oakland has been competitive for the most part over its past six games, winning three of them. All of those were at home, however. It's probably not enough for interim head coach Tony Sparano to keep his job. The Raiders are known to covet Jim Harbaugh if they can keep him from taking the Michigan job.  Oakland was a 12.5-point underdog at sportsbooks Week 10 against the visiting Broncos and lost 41-17.

NFL Free Pick: Broncos, but hold off or buy a half-point to get to 13.5. The number might get there on its own as the line has largely dropped a half point since its opening. The Raiders have failed to cover six straight in this series.

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St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks (-13 in NFL betting)
Seattle has become the Super Bowl betting favorite at sportsbooks with as dominant a five-game winning streak as you will see these days. The Seahawks have won all five by at least double digits and have allowed more than seven points once: a 24-14 win in Philadelphia in Week 14. The Cardinals, a playoff team, managed, just nine total points in two losses. The rival 49ers totaled 10 in their two losses to Seattle in this run. The Seahawks have every reason to keep the pedal to the metal here because a victory gets them the top seed for the second straight year  in the NFC, and it's hard to imagine any club going to the Pacific Northwest and winning right now. The Rams  had a burst of success for a little while but have lost two straight and are better off making it three to improve draft position. The Seahawks also would like a little payback as in Week 7 they were 6.5-point favorites on NFL odds in St. Louis and lost 28-26. The Rams pulled everything out of the bag in that one, including a fake punt from their own 18 late in the game and a trick punt return that led to a 90-yard TD.

NFL Free Pick: Seattle -13. The home team has covered five of the past six in this series. The Rams are 2-6 ATS in their past eight vs. the NFC West.

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans (-10 on NFL odds)
Not sure any team should ever be a 10-point favorite when Case Keenum is your starting quarterback, but that's the case for Houston. Will the Texans win? They absolutely should because they are still in the playoff hunt. Pretty impressive off last season's 2-14 record and the fact that No. 1 overall pick Jadeveon Clowney barely played this season due to injury. That's the thing, how focused will Houston be on the field and not the scoreboard? To earn the AFC's final wild-card spot, the Texans need a win and a Baltimore loss at home to Cleveland and San Diego loss in Kansas City. The latter is quite possible, but the former is a huge long shot. Keenum had been 0-8 in his career as a starter, but he beat the Ravens last week after being signed off the street. Keenum wasn't really that good, however, going 20 of 42 for 185 yards and a pick. It would benefit the Jaguars to lose as they currently would pick No. 3 in the 2015 draft. In Week 14, Jacksonville was a 6.5-point home favorite at sportsbooks against Houston and lost 27-13. Ryan Fitzpatrick was Houston's QB then and it was only 17-13 entering the fourth. J.J. Watt sacked Blake Bortles three times.

NFL Free Pick: Buy this down to 9.5 and add Houston to your NFL picks this week. The Texans have covered five of their past six vs. teams with a losing record. The Jags have covered only two of their past eight road games.

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