Free NFL Pick - N.Y. Jets vs Miami Dolphins

N.Y. Jets players

Wednesday, November 2, 2016 1:44 PM GMT

Both the Jets and Dolphins put a two-game winning streak on the line in week 9 but something is going to have to give. Here’s our betting preview complete with SU, ATS and Total picks.

 

  

N.Y. Jets vs Miami Dolphins


Point Spread Value

Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets are riding a two-game winning streak into week 9 but the enthusiasm they are generating is tepid at best. Wins over Baltimore and Cleveland are hardly a sign that the much-needed turnaround is well underway. Overall, the Jets are 3-5-0 ATS with a -7.2 losing margin and a -5.1 differential versus the spread. That said, they have momentum and if Fitzpatrick (hashtag Mad Beard) can continue to keep the errors in check the Jets have a shot in this game.

Dolphins are coming off a week 8 bye. Before the week off, they upset Pittsburgh and Buffalo at Hard Rock Stadium – only a couple of the season’s contenders thus far. Hats off to the Fins for pulling off those results against the NFL odds (laying +7.5 to the Steelers and +2.5 to the Bills at home). It looks like they might be figuring things out under the new head coach. Then again, a lot of things went their way from home advantage and injuries at the opponent’s end. It’s too early to buy what the Fins are selling.


Free NFL Pick: Jets +4 (-113)

Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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The Survivor

The Fins have been at home since the end of September (Sept 29 they were in Cincinnati, their last away game). That’s verging on five weeks at home – that’s some mid-season vacation in Florida, if ever there was one. Don’t be surprised if their tans look better than their outfits for this game or if they mistake sunscreen for black grease under the eyes. Don’t know about you, but such a cushy stretch can go against a team. It could make them soft, lethargic and complacent amongst other things. It’s enough to consider going against the Dolphins and, to be fair, the grain as well.

Granted the Jets don’t exactly loom threatening with a 3-5 SU record on the season that includes a -7.2 losing margin and -5.1 differential versus the spread. But they are 2-0 SU with a 5.5 winning margin with a -3.5 differential versus the spread in the last two weeks. They really should be better than 3-5 SU and this is a winnable game. It’s not a lock week 9 NFL pick…so don’t go betting the farm on it.


Free NFL Pick: Jets + 170

Best Line Offered: at WilliamHill

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Game Total

When it comes to total betting the Jets are split down the middle with a 4-4-0 record while the Dolphins are 4-3-0. Truth be told, both these teams are a bit all over the map when it comes to the scoreboard – from defensive grinds to complete and utter blowouts you just never know what to expect on any given Sunday. It’s a right tossup for week 9 NFL picks but seeing as the OVER edges slightly combined (8-7-0, we’re shading the OVER on our NFL picks.

 

Free NFL Pick: Over 43.5

Best Line Offered: at SportsInteraction

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