Free CFL Picks: Winnipeg vs. Montreal Week 2 Preview

David Schwab

Monday, July 1, 2013 6:32 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 1, 2013 6:32 PM UTC

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and the Montreal Alouettes will simply change venues for this Thursday night’s back-end of a home-and-home series to open the 2013 CFL regular season.

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All the action from Molson Stadium is set to get underway at 7 PM (ET) and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. 

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Winnipeg Overview

The Blue Bombers took a nine-point lead into the fourth quarter in last week’s season opener against Montreal, but they could not hold onto the lead in a 38-33 loss as 3.5-point home underdogs. The total went OVER the 49.5-point line after staying UNDER in seven of their last nine games of the 2012 season.

The rust in Buck Pierce’s arm was pretty evident last week after he completed just 55.9 percent of his passes for 258 yards. While he did throw two scoring strikes, he was also picked-off three times. One of the main concerns for the Bombers has to be a ground game that only managed to rush for 38 yards on 10 carries. They will need a much better effort running the ball to have any shot at earning the split against Montreal. The defense will also have to tighten things up especially in the secondary.

Montreal Overview

With a starting quarterback that will turn 41 later this season you were not sure what to expect from Anthony Calvillo in the season opener. The CFL’s all-time leading passer added 264 more yards to the record books but only completed 57.1 percent of his attempts after connecting on 20 of his 35 passes. Noel Devine ran the ball 12 times for 58 yards and Alouettes’ slotback SJ Green came up huge with five catches for 119 yards and one score.

Overall, the defense tightened up when it had to, but there has to be some concern in giving-up 33 points to the lowest scoring team in the CFL last season. At least Montreal still managed to cover against the spread after going 2-5 ATS in its previous seven games. There are some injury concerns on the defensive side of the ball with cornerback Kendric Burney, linebacker Curtis Dublanco and defensive end Ameet Pall all listed as questionable for Thursday night’s game.

For more information on Canadian football, be sure to check out SportsbookReview's 2013 CFL Season Preview!

Winnipeg vs. Montreal Betting Lines and Trends

Looking at CFL odds for Week 2, BetOnline has opened Montreal has a 7.5-point home favorite for Game 2 of this home-and-home series with the total line set at 53.5.

The Blue Bombers are 14-5-2 in their last 21 games against a team with a winning record but just 3-8-1 ATS I their last 12 games on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven East Division games.

The Alouettes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 division games and has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven East Division games.

The Alouettes are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 division games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games at home. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 11 games following a SU win.

Head-to-head in this matchup, Winnipeg is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five games.


Winnipeg vs. Montreal Free CFL Pick

Montreal should be able to score enough points to come away with the SU win, but the free CFL pick in this matchup is for Winnipeg to cover with the seven points. The Blue Bombers are not as bad as they looked last week and Montreal is not as good so, our sports pick for this contest is Winnipeg plus the 7.5 points.

CFL Pick: Winnipeg +7.5 at Bet365

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