Free CFL Picks: Toronto vs. Montreal Week 7 Preview

David Schwab

Tuesday, August 6, 2013 7:30 PM GMT

The Toronto Argonauts and the Montreal Alouettes will battle it out this Thursday night for the early lead in the East Division.


All the action from Percival Molson Stadium is set to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast in Canada on TSN. Who's the best value for your sports picks?

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Toronto Overview

Following a shaky 1-2 start, the defending Grey Cup Champions have posted back-to-back victories both straight-up and against the spread to improve to 3-2 SU and ATS, which also happens to be the best record in the East Division. The total went ‘Over’ the 49-point line in last Tuesday’s stunning 38-13 romp of British Columbia as 7.5-point home underdogs and it has now gone ‘Over’ in four of the Argonauts’ first five games.

The main injury concern for Thursday night is quarterback Ricky Ray. Zach Collaros did a good job in relief against the Lions, but Ray was off to a blazing start with 1,203 passing yards while throwing eight touchdowns against zero interceptions. The Argos’ offense as a whole is averaging 31.2 points a game while their defense is holding teams to 25.6 points a game. This unit has really put the clamps on in the past two games; allowing a combined total of just 31 points.

Montreal Overview

The patience level with new head coach Dan Hawkins must not have been that high considering that Montreal decided to fire him during the bye week. He will be replaced by Jim Popp, whose first order of business will be to address an offense that has averaged just 24.4 points a game through the first five weeks. The defense also has to be held accountable after surrendering an average of 27.8 points a game to the competition. One of the biggest problems has been the play of veteran signal caller Anthony Calvillo, who never looked comfortable running Hawkins’ offensive scheme.

The result has been a 2-3 start both SU and ATS even with a 32-27 victory over Edmonton as four-point favorites at home on July 25. The total went ‘Over’ the 48.5-point line in that game and it has gone ‘Over’ in three of the Alouettes’ first five games this year. The win also snapped a three-game SU losing streak at home and a five-game losing streak at Percival Molson Stadium ATS.

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Toronto vs. Montreal Betting Lines and Trends

Opening CFL betting lines for Week 7 have Montreal listed as a 1.5-point home favorite for Thursday night’s game with the total line set at 54.

The Argonauts are 4-1 SU on the road in their last five games and they are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall. The total has stayed ‘Under’ in four of their last six road games.

The Alouettes are 2-5 SU in their last seven games and 2-6 ATS in their last eight. The total has stayed ‘Under’ in seven of their last eight home games.

Head-to-head in this East Division rivalry, Toronto is just 4-14 SU and 5-13 ATS in the last 18 meetings and the total has stayed ‘Under’ in four of the last five games played in Montreal. This will be the first meeting between the two this season after last year’s series ended in a 2-2 split both SU and ATS.

[gameodds]19/223969/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Toronto vs. Montreal Free CFL Pick

The shake-up at the top in Montreal might have been unexpected, but from the early looks of things, very much needed. Look for a return to normalcy for the Alouettes especially from Calvillo and the offense. The result is a much needed win at home that covers the spread, should you add them to your CFL picks.

CFL Pick: Bet Montreal -1.5 on the spread at Bet365

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